Saturday, December 25, 2010
Washington Redskins (+6.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars - PICK: JAGUARS 20 - 17
San Francisco 49ers (+3) @ St. Louis Rams - PICK: 49ERS 24 - 20
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills (+7.5) - PICK: PATRIOTS 31 - 24
New York Jets @ Chicago Bears (-2.5) - PICK: BEARS 20 - 16
Baltimore Ravens (-3) @ Cleveland Browns - PICK: RAVENS 24 - 20
Seattle Seahawks (+6.5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers - PICK: BUCCANEERS 27 - 24
Tennessee Titans @ Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5) - PICK: CHIEFS 28 - 20
Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) @ Oakland Raiders - PICK: Colts 30 - 24
Houston Texans (-3) @ Denver Broncos - PICK: Texans 30 - Broncos 20
New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers (-3) - PICK: PACKERS 31 - 24
San Diego Chargers (-8) @ Cincinnati Bengals - PICK: CHARGERS 34 - 23
Minnesota Vikings @ Philadelphia Eagles (-14) - PICK: EAGLES 27 - 10
New Orleans Saints (+2.5) @ Atlanta Falcons - PICK: SAINTS 27 - 24
Baltimore Ravens (-4) @ Cleveland Browns
The Ravens have established themselves among the 2nd tier elite in the NFL this season. Last week’s win over New Orleans ranks as one of their most impressive to date. New Orleans sports an offense keenly designed to exploit Baltimore’s weak secondary. In their first meeting of the year, Joe Flacco lit up the Browns for 3 TDs and over 250 yards. Ray Rice broke out last week have the type of game we thought we’d see week in and week out. The Ravens could make a statement by running roughshod over the Browns tomorrow. Anquan Boldin has a great game and Baltimore’s offense puts up a lot of points. Defensively, the Ravens must focus on stopping Peyton Hillis. Hillis puts up most of his numbers early in games. He slows down a great deal by the 4th quarter. The Browns will likely have to rely at least in part on a solid throwing day from Colt McCoy to keep pace with Baltimore. McCoy became a nice surprise for the Browns organization this year and an even better one for the Browns fans. The Jake Delhomme era was brief and uneventful. A huge day from Josh Cribbs in the return game is the only way I see the Ravens not covering this one. The Ravens roll and get the cover.
PICK: RAVENS -4
Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) @ Oakland Raiders
The Colts control their own destiny and I doubt that facts been lost on Manning. Anytime the playoffs are on the line, I’m betting on Manning. He’s one of the most consistent regular season players ever. The Raiders, on the other hand, have been somewhat schizophrenic this season. I am leery to trust Jason Campbell and company just yet. Manning should have Joe Addai back giving the team at least a semblance of a ground attack, taking some pressure off Manning by giving the play action pass back.
McFadden puts up a couple of touchdowns but the Raiders struggle to find production through the passing game. The colts win, not in a route, but by more than enough to get the cover.
PICK: COLTS -2.5
Dallas @ Arizona
Cowboys are rolling since the Wade Phillips departure. Things won't change this week.
Pick: Dallas 30 - Zona 16
Thursday, December 23, 2010
Saturday, December 18, 2010
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans (-1) - PICK: Titans 27 - Texans 23
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts (-5) - PICK: Colts 27 - Jaguars 17
Arizona Cardinals @ Carolina Panthers (-3) - PICK: Panthers 31 - Cardinals 23
Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals (-1) - PICK: Bengals 20 - Browns 13
Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins (-5) - PICK: Dolphins 27 - Bills 17
Philadelphia Eagles (+3) @ New York Giants - PICK: Eagles 24 - Giants 23
Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys (-7) - PICK: Cowboys 31 - Redskins 13
Detroit Lions (+5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers - PICK: Buccaneers 20 - Lions 17
New Orleans Saints (+1) @ Baltimore Ravens - PICK: Saints 31 - Ravens 27
Atlanta Falcons @ Seattle Seahawks (+7) - PICK: Seattle 24 - Atlanta 20
New York Jets (+6) @ Pittsburgh Steelers - PICK: Steelers 20 - Jets 17
Denver Broncos (+7) @ Oakland Raiders - PICK: Broncos 27 - Raiders 24
Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots (0ff) - PICK: Patriots 27 - Packers 10
Chicago Bears (off) @ Minnesota Vikings - PICK: Bears 13 - Vikings 3
Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys (-7)
Shanahan really has a way with his players. No doubt free agents will come a runnin’ to Washington after witnessing Shanahan’s professional and courteous touch. Haynesworth probably deserved some of the treatment, but McNabb surely does not. McNabb struggled this season but the Redskins gave him a long term deal. However, the Skins added a caveat allowing them an out after this season if they should decide to part ways with McNabb. The benching announced today makes that look like a psychological ploy to get McNabb comfortable and see what happens. Shanahan dropped McNabb to third on the depth chart behind Rex Grossman and John Beck. That’s an attack on McNabb, he’s still got a couple of decent years left in him and could provide a franchise some stability while developing a future starter. After all, he isn’t Derek Anderson. McNabb once faced Jake Delhomme in a NFC championship game- that seems like a life time ago. The Redskins are throwing in the towel and unless they can get Ryan Torain rolling they’re getting their doors blown off.
I attended the Dallas game last Sunday night and I’ve got to say, the crowd was very lively for a seemingly meaningless game. The fans appreciate how the team has played since Jason Garrett took over. Despite injuries and an atrocious record, the team continues to work hard. DeSean Jackson is the fastest human being I’ve ever seen in person, but fortunately for Dallas, the Skins do not have anyone that can match his speed. Jason Garrett hasn’t locked up the head coaching position yet and Jon Kitna knows this might be his last year in the sun. Many of the other players are playing for their roster spots next year as it appears the Cowboys will have a high draft pick and almost every position is a need.
Dallas get a big win (big for them- it’s all they have left) in a route.
PICK: DALLAS -7
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts (-5)
It would seem Vegas has little faith in the Jaguars. The Jags have played very well as of late and Jones-Drew has been unstoppable. Manning played well last week but I can’t shake the image of him throwing pick after pick in the 2 weeks prior. The team is still missing a number of key players and they can’t seem to stop the run against anyone they play. The Jags can’t stop the pass and the Colts have the number one passing team in the league. That’s partially due to their having the worst running game in the league. They rank 29th against the run and face a Jags team with the second best rushing attack in the NFL.
Look for Jacksonville to play keep away from Manning and limit his chances to score. The Colts will do their best to get after Gerard and force him into a few poor choices. The Colts will do just enough to pull this one out but the Jags cover and the AFC South picture gets muddier.
PICK: JACKSONVILLE +5
Thursday, December 16, 2010
Chargers are in must win mode, and rarely do they lose in December. Phillip Rivers is money in the bank and the fact that Frank Gore isn't even in the picture tonight is a huge disadvantage for the 49ers offense. Alex Smith will be back to his old form. Don't be surprised by another shutout by the Chargers defense.
PICK: SAN DIEGO CHARGERS 27 - San Francisco 49ers 3
Sunday, December 12, 2010
Cincinnati Bengals (+9) @ Pittsburgh Steelers - PICK: STEELERS 20 - Bengals 17
Cleveland Browns (PK) @ Buffalo Bills - PICK: BROWNS 27 - Bills 13
New York Giants (-3) @ Minnesota Vikings - PICK: Giants 24 - Vikings 16
Green Bay Packers (-7) @ Detroit Lions - PICK: PACKERS 31 - Lions 20
Atlanta Falcons (-8) @ Carolina Panthers - PICK: FALCONS 24 - Panthers 10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Washington Redskins (+3) - PICK: REDSKINS 24 - Buccaneers 20
St. Louis Rams @ New Orleans Saints (-9) - PICK: SAINTS 31 - Rams 17
Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers (-5) - PICK: 49ers 24 - Seahawks 16
New England Patriots (-3) @ Chicago Bears - PICK: PATRIOTS 14 - Bears 7
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets (-6) - PICK: JETS 20 - Dolphins 10
Denver Broncos (-4.5) @ Arizona Cardinals - PICK: BRONCOS 34 - Cardinals 17
Kansas City Chiefs @ San Diego Chargers (-9) - PICK: CHARGERS 31 - Chiefs 17
Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) @ Dallas Cowboys - PICK: EAGLES 34 - Cowboys 27
Baltimore Ravens @ Houston Texans (+3) - PICK: TEXANS 31 - Ravens 30
New England Patriots (-3) @ Chicago Bears
Does Tom Brady have hair plugs? My girlfriend says he does and the Sports Guy mention something to that effect? I am certainly not a patriots fan but in a time when America is constantly questioned, doesn’t he seem like the appropriate ambassador? He’s not effeminate like Euro soccer guys and always gives an air of I don’t care to the media. I’ve seen him play and hair plugs aside, its beautiful thing. Jay Cutler dates Laguna Beach has-beens, Brady dates (marries) girls who are too good for Victoria’s Secret. Three points? Nope- give em seven and I still take the Pats. New England wins big in a route.
PICK: NEW ENGLAND -3
Kansas City @ San Diego (-9)
Phillip Rivers is an easy player to hate. On the field, he often comes across as an arrogant jerk to the casual Charger’s observer. However, what Rivers has accomplished thus far is nothing short of great. General Manager AJ Smith, made a big miscalculation. The Chargers cast aside LaDanian (French for the The Danian) Tomlinson and drafted running back Ryan Matthews in the first round. As it turns out, Tomlinson isn’t dead and Ryan Matthews isn’t good. To be fair, Matthews has struggled with injuries and Tomlinson appeared washed up last year. To make matters worse, two of the team’s best players left tackle Marcus McNeil and receiver Vincent Jackson were both embroiled in public contract disputes. McNeil resigned to a long term deal with the Chargers and Jackson returned to obtain a vested year in order to gain unrestricted status after the season. Further exacerbating the team’s personnel troubles, top receivers Malcolm Floyd, Legadu Nanee and All Pro Antonio Gates have become fixtures on the team’s injury report. Despite all of this, Rivers continues to put up Pro Bowl numbers. You may loathe Philip Rivers on a personal level, but he’s a baller on par with any of the top QB’s in the league.
I love seeing Kansas City relevant again. Growing up, I was married to the NFC. Those games mattered and AFC games didn’t. There was a period when the NFC dominated. Beginning with ’84 49ers and ending with the ’96 Packers, the NFC won every single Super Bowl. The AFC was like a mistress for me- just a little fun on the side. The Steve DeBerg-Marty Schottenheimer days are long gone but it appears Todd Haley and his big name staff has a little something going. Matt Cassel’s play has flown slightly under the radar. He’s developed a nice rapport with Dwayne Bowe and the combination of Thomas Jones and Jamal Charles gives them enough to grind out games.
San Diego needs a win here to keep pace with KC. I think they win easy with the recent news of Matt Cassel being ruled OUT due to his Wednesday appendectomy. Brodie Croyle will get the start for the Chiefs, Jamaal Charles will be running hard after being awarded a nice new contract this week, but the fact of the matter is the Chargers rarely lose in November and December. They took a nasty loss last week at home against Oakland, no chance they lose two in a row in San Diego in December.
PICK: CHARGERS -9
Wednesday, December 8, 2010
Indianapolis Colts (-3.5) @ Tennessee Titans
Peyton will not lose his third straight game, but the Titans offensive struggles will continue and they will be down too much too earlier to make a comeback. Peyton will get some help from his ground game, but once again it will be his arm that carries the Colts past the Titans.
PICK: COLTS 27 - Titans 17
1. New England Patriots
2. Pittsburgh Steelers
3. Atlanta Falcons
4. Baltimore Ravens
5. Philadelphia Eagles
6. New Orleans Saints
7. New York Jets
8. New York Giants
9. Chicago Bears
10. Kansas City Chiefs
11. Green Bay Packers
12. Jacksonville Jaguars
13. Indianapolis Colts
14. San Diego Chargers
15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
16. St. Louis Rams
17. Minnesota Vikings
18. Cleveland Browns
19. Miami Dolphins
20. Seattle Seahawks
21. Houston Texans
22. Tennessee Titans
23. Dallas Cowboys
24. Oakland Raiders
25. Washington Redskins
26. San Francisco 49ers
27. Denver Broncos
28. Buffalo Bills
29. Detroit Lions
30. Cincinnati Bengals
31. Arizona Cardinals
32. Carolina Panthers
Saturday, December 4, 2010
Cleveland Browns (+5) @ Miami Dolphins - PICK: DOLPHINS 24 - Browns 20
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans (-3) - PICK: TITANS 30 - Jaguars 24
Denver Broncos (+9) @ Kansas City Chiefs - PICK: CHIEFS 34 - Broncos 27
Washington Redskins @ New York Giants (-7) - PICK: GIANTS 24 - Redskins 13
Chicago Bears (-6) @ Detroit Lions - PICK: CHICAGO 30 - Lions 17
San Francisco 49ers @ Green Bay Packers (-10) - PICK: PACKERS 27 - 49ers 16
New Orleans Saints @ Cincinnati Bengals (+7) - PICK: SAINTS 17 - Bengals 16
Oakland Raiders @ San Diego Chargers (-13) - PICK: CHARGERS 38 - Raiders 14
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3) - PICK: FALCONS 24 - Buccaneers 23
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts (6) - PICK: COLTS 30 - Cowboys 20
Carolina Panthers @ Seattle Seahawks (5) - PICK: SEAHAWKS 24 - Panthers 16
St. Louis Rams @ Arizona Cardinals (+3.5) - PICK: ARIZONA 27 - Rams 20
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens (-3) - PICK: RAVENS 23 - Steelers 20
New York Jets (+4) @ New England Patriots - PICK: PATRIOTS 24 - Jets 21
Buffalo Bills (+5.5) @ Minnesota Vikings
Favre and new coach Leslie Frazier take on the perpetually exciting Bills. In case you haven’t noticed, the Bills have played in some of the most enjoyable games this year. Of course, they rarely end up on top in those games but they’re entertaining nonetheless. Steve Johnson and Lee Evans have given the Bills some pop in the passing game. As long as God doesn’t decide to continue his vendetta against Johnson, he and Harvard’s own Ryan Fitzpatrick will have a nice day against the porous Viking secondary. Brett Favre did enough to not lose last week against the Redskins. Toby Gerhart did his Mike Alstott impression last week trucking into the end zone carrying 2 ‘Skins with him last week. Gerhart’s a nice change of pace back but if Adrian Peterson (game time decision) doesn’t play, the Vikings likely lose the game. Either way the Bills cover and we may have Tavaris Jackson sighting by the end of the day.
PICK: BUFFALO +5.5
Washington @ New York Giants (-7)
Two schizophrenic teams that are wildly inconsistent from week to week. The Giants did everything they could to lose to Jacksonville last week and the Redskins reaffirmed that Brad Childress was the problem in Minnesota. Who knows who the Redskins will have in the backfield, word on the street is that they picked up a day laborer from Home Depot to take handoffs. New York is in the middle of a struggle to remain atop the NFC East. This is a pivotal game for the Giants, dropping one here would put them in a difficult position behind the streaking Eagles. Manning steps up the challenge and does just enough to get the win, but the Skins cover in a tight one.
PICK: WASHINGTON +7
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens (-3)
Big Ben’s foot seems to be the biggest headline heading into this game. The Bills had Pittsburgh on the ropes last Sunday and if it were for God’s interference, Steve Johnson wins the game for the Bills. The Ravens, however, look as solid as ever. They remain my Super Bowl favorite and take a strangle hold on the NFC North. Look for Ray Rice to catch a few balls for big yardage and a score out of the backfield. He’ll only get 50-60 rushing yards but he’ll have a great overall game. Mike Wallace comes up big but Mendenhall struggles and the Ravens get the win and the cover.
PICK: BALTIMORE -3
Thursday, December 2, 2010
PICK: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 35 - Houston Texans 28
Wednesday, December 1, 2010
Chicago Bears - With a big game win against a big time NFC opponent, the Bears defense showed up to slow down Michael Vick and the explosive Eagles offense. Also worth noting was a 4 TD performance by Jay Cutler and the tremendous running game of Matt Forte. The Bears didn't have many believers going into the Eagles game, but its easy to say they have a few after the big win.
Oakland Raiders - After all of the pre-season talks about the Raiders potential for this season it all seems to be going down hill. The inconsistencies of this offense have been well documented, but the lack of fight that this team showed throughout the week 12 matchup vs Miami just illustrated the decline of the Raiders this season. They are all but done, and now have to face the red-hot Chargers.
Cincinnati Bengals - Carson Palmer has had an awful season, the Bengals only have 2 wins, and they got beat up against the "human" Jets. Let's see how the Bengals rally the troops this week against the Saints in Cincy. A loss would lead me to believe that Marvin Lewis is definitely out after this season.
1. New England Patriots
2. New York Jets
3. Baltimore Ravens
4. Pittsburgh Steelers
5. Atlanta Falcons
6. Green Bay Packers
7. New York Giants
8. Chicago Bears
9. San Diego Chargers
10. Philadelphia Eagles
11. New Orleans Saints
12. Kansas City Chiefs
13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
14. Indianapolis Colts
15. Jacksonville Jaguars
16. St. Louis Rams
17. Miami Dolphins
18. Houston Texans
19. Minnesota Vikings
20. Washington Redskins
21. Dallas Cowboys
22. Tennessee Titans
23. Cleveland Browns
24. Seattle Seahawks
25. San Francisco
26. Buffalo Bills
27. Oakland Raiders
28. Denver Broncos
29. Cincinnati Bengals
30. Detroit Lions
31. Arizona Cardinals
32. Carolina Panthers