Top 12 Teams through Week 1
1. San Francisco 49ers
2. New England Patriots
3. Baltimore Ravens
4. Houston Texans
5. Atlanta Falcons
6. Denver Broncos
7. Chicago Bears
8. Washington Redskins
9. Dallas Cowboys
10. New York Jets
11. Detroit Lions
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Philadelphia, New Orleans, and Green Bay all performed subpar to the
teams listed above.
Thursday, September 13, 2012
Saturday, September 8, 2012
Danny's Week 1 Selections
Indianapolis Colts @ Chicago Bears (-10) - This is the first chance for Andrew Luck to display his talents in a regular season NFL game. While the Bears defense may be a little long in the tooth, the veteran leadership should have provided plenty of motivation to eat up the young fresh meat this week behind center. With Peppers coming off the end, Briggs and Urlacher in the middle, and Tillman in the secondary, there will be constant pressure on the Colts offense to perform. Expect Luck to play well, but not well enough. The Bears offense is high-powered; the Cutler and Brandon Marshall connection should be one of the best QB to WR tandems this season, then you have the two headed running back situation with Matt Forte and Michael Bush, and let's not also Mr. Devin Hester lining up in the slot. The Bears will be sure to put up some points in their home opener, I don't think Andrew Luck and Co. will have enough ammunition to keep it within reach. Expect a nice day from Reggie Wayne as Luck will have to pass early and often.
Selection: Bears 30 - Colts 17
****Philadelphia Eagles @ Cleveland Browns (+9.5) - My first lock of the season, I expect a big win from the Eagles in Cleveland. Brandon Weeden facing one of the best defensive lines in the NFL, that spells trouble for the Browns. Michael Vick needs to put his money where his mouth is and make it through a series without a bump or bruise. Vick only dropped back 12 times in the preseason and was injured twice. LeSean McCoy, DeSean Jackson, Jeremy Maclin, Brent Celek, and of course Michael Vick are all must-start fantasy options this week. Eagles win big on Sunday.
Selection: #1 Lock of the Season - EAGLES 35 - Browns 13
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets (-3) - This should be a good game. The Bills have a strong offense, with an improved offensive line, and a more experienced CJ Spiller splitting touches with Fred Jackson. On the other side, Mario Williams will provide a big bump in run-stopping and quarterback pressure for the Bills defense. The Bills are a well rounded team, but they always find a way to lose a game. Not so fast in this one. The Jets had an awful preseason and now go into the regular season with drama surrounding. Should Tim Tebow start? What if Sanchez struggles early? Is Santonio Holmes a leader on this team or still a distraction? Where will the Jets find offense? Thank God the Jets have a good defense or else this would be an easy win for the Bills. I think the Jets will struggle to find an identity this season and the Bills will take advantage of early miscues. No explosiveness on offense will really hurt the Jets in this one. Bills get the road win.
Selection: Bills 16 - Jets 10
Washington Redskins @ New Orleans Saints (-7.5) - The bounty bans have been temporarily removed for the banned players from "Bounty Gate". That should spark some new life into the locker room in New Orleans. While I think the Redskins could possibly make a lot of noise this year in the NFC East, this is too big a game for RG3 to win. New Orleans is a very tough place to beat Drew Brees at, and I do not think the Skins can do it. Brees and his boys will use a balanced offense to win this game. I do like the Skins getting the points as I think Griffin will be fine against the Saints defense, and he will also use his legs to extend the play.
Selection: Saints 27 - Redskins 24
New England Patriots @ Tennessee Titans (+6) - The spread has to tell you something about this game right. It is screaming for me to take the points and bet the Titans. But, Brady is so loaded on offense and their defense should be improved from last season! This Patriots team has a legitimate shot at 13 or 14 wins this season. The Titans are a playoff team in a tough spot here. While I think they keep it close, I just don't know if they have the playmakers on defense to come up with a big play in the fourth quarter that can slow down this Patriot offense and give the Titans an opportunity to be in the game with the ball under two minutes.
Selection: Patriots 31 - Titans 24
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) - Blayne Gabbert has the weapons with him on offense to give his team an opportunity to win this football game. Using Robinson and Blackmon down the field will open up some running lanes for Jennings and Jones Drew to gain some extra yards. Whether AP plays or not does not change my view on this game that the Jaguars will outwork the Vikings and get the job done in Cleveland.
Selection: Jaguars 17 - Vikings 13
Miami Dolphins @ Houston Texans (-13) - Ryan Tannehill...welcome to the NFL. Even if Foster is ruled inactive at game time, the Texans have Ben Tate ready to run hard against the Dolphins defense. Hard Knocks exploited the Dolphins as a potential 2-4 win team this year. They are weak and lack talent on the outside that would allow Reggie Bush to have a successful season running the football. This will be an eye opener for how the Dolphins will have to approach each upcoming game. Schaub and the Texans defense cruise to a home victory.
Selection: Texans 30 - Dolphins 7
St. Louis Rams @ Detroit Lions (-7.5) - The St. Louis Rams are not a bad team, and with Jeff Fisher on the sidelines they will improve. That being said, they remind me a lot of the 2010 Detroit Lions, a team that would hang tight in every game, but just disappear in the 4th quarter. The Rams have a strong front seven to keep the opposing running backs in check, their secondary has improved, but its the offensive side of the ball that they will have a hard time competing with other teams. Danny Amendola and Brandon Gibson are not the wideouts that Sam Bradford should be targeting. They need help. They have a great, but aging, back in Steven Jackson and Bradford is now in his third year behind center. The lack of talent around him will be clearly evident this season. On the flip side, the Lions scream talent everywhere but their defensive secondary. Matthew Stafford will have no issues hooking up with Megatron, Burleson, Broyles, Young, Pettigrew all day against the Rams defense. Lions in a smooth home victory.
Selection: Lions 27 - Rams 17
*****Atlanta Falcons @ Kansas City Chiefs (+3) - Okay, it is time for everyone to smell their coffee. While I know how difficult it is to play in Arrowhead Stadium, the Chiefs are not ready to beat the Falcons. Matt Cassell had one good year, and it was with the Patriots! The quarterback is the most important position on the field and I trust the Falcons quarterback a lot more than the Chiefs quarterback. The Falcons are stacked on offense, and Julio Jones will emerge as the number one target for Matty Ice. Mind you that he also can target Roddy White, Tony Gonzalez, Harry Douglas, Quizz Rodgers, Michael Turner....yeah. Chiefs will be good come week 7, but they will go through growing pains early this season, and they will be fortunate that 8-8 should win their division. Lock it up, Falcons win big.
Selection: Falcons 27 - Chiefs 13
San Francisco 49ers @ Green Bay Packers (-5) -
*****Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2.5) -
Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals (+3) - Russell Wilson in his rookie debut against a very weak Arizona Cardinals football team, I like Wilson to impress and get a nice road win for Pete Carrol and the Seahawks.
Selection: Seahawks 17 - Cardinals 9
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos (-2) - I am not sold yet that Peyton Manning can jump right into the NFL and open up with a win against the most ferocious NFL defense of his era. The Steelers are older, but they are savvy veterans and they will get the job done. Manning has not shown that he can make the 20+ yard passes on a crisp, tight line. What he has shown all preseason is that 8-14 yard ins,outs,curls, and back shoulder passes are where he is most comfortable. So this means that Polamalu will be able to play his game, meander through the secondary, and attack these shorter passes. Broncos will not be able to run the ball successfully against the Steelers front seven, so it will be on Manning to outshine Roethlisberger and I do not see that happening. The Steelers should be the favorite here, in my opinion it is an upset if the Broncos win this game. The Steelers will exploit the Broncos secondary with Wallace and Brown on deep routes. Steelers win and spoil Manning's Bronco debut.
Selection: Steelers 20 - Broncos 16
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens (-7) - My prediction for the Bengals this season is that they take a step backwards, and by that I mean that Andy Dalton will not have the success that he did last year. The Ravens boast an All-Pro defense led by Ray and Ed, but it is the Ravens offense that I am looking most forward to this season. I expect Flacco to have a big year throwing to Torrey Smith and Quan Boldin, and we obviously all know what Mr. Rice brings to the table. The Bengals defense is still formidable but I think the Ravens have too many weapons on both sides of the ball, and they know that this could be the year they finally make it to the Super Bowl. Ravens come up guns firing, win in a big way against Cincy.
Selection: Ravens 24 - Bengals 13
San Diego Chargers @ ******Oakland Raiders (-1) - Lock this up. The Chargers are notorious slow starters under Norv Turner and that trend continues this year. Mr. Rivers and Co. won't have enough to answer for the feisty Oakland Raiders. Carson Palmer has weapons, not studs, but weapons on the outside that make plays for him. And of course RUN DMC will be the difference maker in this game for the Raiders on offense. Defensively the Raiders are stout and always play better at home. Seymour is a beast and he will have fun with the Chargers O-Line. Look for the Raiders to make big plays, come up with a big turnover, and capitalize on special teams as the Chargers are always slow starts in the area too. Oakland is a lock at home on Monday night.
Selection - Raider 27 - Chargers 23
Selection: Bears 30 - Colts 17
****Philadelphia Eagles @ Cleveland Browns (+9.5) - My first lock of the season, I expect a big win from the Eagles in Cleveland. Brandon Weeden facing one of the best defensive lines in the NFL, that spells trouble for the Browns. Michael Vick needs to put his money where his mouth is and make it through a series without a bump or bruise. Vick only dropped back 12 times in the preseason and was injured twice. LeSean McCoy, DeSean Jackson, Jeremy Maclin, Brent Celek, and of course Michael Vick are all must-start fantasy options this week. Eagles win big on Sunday.
Selection: #1 Lock of the Season - EAGLES 35 - Browns 13
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets (-3) - This should be a good game. The Bills have a strong offense, with an improved offensive line, and a more experienced CJ Spiller splitting touches with Fred Jackson. On the other side, Mario Williams will provide a big bump in run-stopping and quarterback pressure for the Bills defense. The Bills are a well rounded team, but they always find a way to lose a game. Not so fast in this one. The Jets had an awful preseason and now go into the regular season with drama surrounding. Should Tim Tebow start? What if Sanchez struggles early? Is Santonio Holmes a leader on this team or still a distraction? Where will the Jets find offense? Thank God the Jets have a good defense or else this would be an easy win for the Bills. I think the Jets will struggle to find an identity this season and the Bills will take advantage of early miscues. No explosiveness on offense will really hurt the Jets in this one. Bills get the road win.
Selection: Bills 16 - Jets 10
Washington Redskins @ New Orleans Saints (-7.5) - The bounty bans have been temporarily removed for the banned players from "Bounty Gate". That should spark some new life into the locker room in New Orleans. While I think the Redskins could possibly make a lot of noise this year in the NFC East, this is too big a game for RG3 to win. New Orleans is a very tough place to beat Drew Brees at, and I do not think the Skins can do it. Brees and his boys will use a balanced offense to win this game. I do like the Skins getting the points as I think Griffin will be fine against the Saints defense, and he will also use his legs to extend the play.
Selection: Saints 27 - Redskins 24
New England Patriots @ Tennessee Titans (+6) - The spread has to tell you something about this game right. It is screaming for me to take the points and bet the Titans. But, Brady is so loaded on offense and their defense should be improved from last season! This Patriots team has a legitimate shot at 13 or 14 wins this season. The Titans are a playoff team in a tough spot here. While I think they keep it close, I just don't know if they have the playmakers on defense to come up with a big play in the fourth quarter that can slow down this Patriot offense and give the Titans an opportunity to be in the game with the ball under two minutes.
Selection: Patriots 31 - Titans 24
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) - Blayne Gabbert has the weapons with him on offense to give his team an opportunity to win this football game. Using Robinson and Blackmon down the field will open up some running lanes for Jennings and Jones Drew to gain some extra yards. Whether AP plays or not does not change my view on this game that the Jaguars will outwork the Vikings and get the job done in Cleveland.
Selection: Jaguars 17 - Vikings 13
Miami Dolphins @ Houston Texans (-13) - Ryan Tannehill...welcome to the NFL. Even if Foster is ruled inactive at game time, the Texans have Ben Tate ready to run hard against the Dolphins defense. Hard Knocks exploited the Dolphins as a potential 2-4 win team this year. They are weak and lack talent on the outside that would allow Reggie Bush to have a successful season running the football. This will be an eye opener for how the Dolphins will have to approach each upcoming game. Schaub and the Texans defense cruise to a home victory.
Selection: Texans 30 - Dolphins 7
St. Louis Rams @ Detroit Lions (-7.5) - The St. Louis Rams are not a bad team, and with Jeff Fisher on the sidelines they will improve. That being said, they remind me a lot of the 2010 Detroit Lions, a team that would hang tight in every game, but just disappear in the 4th quarter. The Rams have a strong front seven to keep the opposing running backs in check, their secondary has improved, but its the offensive side of the ball that they will have a hard time competing with other teams. Danny Amendola and Brandon Gibson are not the wideouts that Sam Bradford should be targeting. They need help. They have a great, but aging, back in Steven Jackson and Bradford is now in his third year behind center. The lack of talent around him will be clearly evident this season. On the flip side, the Lions scream talent everywhere but their defensive secondary. Matthew Stafford will have no issues hooking up with Megatron, Burleson, Broyles, Young, Pettigrew all day against the Rams defense. Lions in a smooth home victory.
Selection: Lions 27 - Rams 17
*****Atlanta Falcons @ Kansas City Chiefs (+3) - Okay, it is time for everyone to smell their coffee. While I know how difficult it is to play in Arrowhead Stadium, the Chiefs are not ready to beat the Falcons. Matt Cassell had one good year, and it was with the Patriots! The quarterback is the most important position on the field and I trust the Falcons quarterback a lot more than the Chiefs quarterback. The Falcons are stacked on offense, and Julio Jones will emerge as the number one target for Matty Ice. Mind you that he also can target Roddy White, Tony Gonzalez, Harry Douglas, Quizz Rodgers, Michael Turner....yeah. Chiefs will be good come week 7, but they will go through growing pains early this season, and they will be fortunate that 8-8 should win their division. Lock it up, Falcons win big.
Selection: Falcons 27 - Chiefs 13
San Francisco 49ers @ Green Bay Packers (-5) -
This should
be an awesome game. Alex Smith and the
49ers heading in the Green Bay to play Aaron Rodgers and the explosive Packers
offense. A tremendous defense on the
road against an explosive offense in their backyard. Wow.
After the performance against the Saints in the playoffs last season
this seems doable for the 49ers. But,
Green Bay will win this game. It is one
of those things that is hard to explain.
Look at the Patriots/ Titans game; you know the Patriots will win, but
you also know the Titans have all the weapons to keep the game close and try
for an upset. But you just can’t pick
the Titans outright…maybe they cover, but not an outright win you know? This is how I feel in this game. The 49ers could lead the entire game, but you
know Rodgers is gonna’ hook up with James Jones in some crazy scramble play and
the Packers will go on to get an exciting home win. I don’t need to get in to stats or details
about the players on each team. We know
who has who and where each team performs really well. I do think that if the Packers can establish
any bit of a run game with Cedric Benson against the 49ers front seven, then
this game will be over early. That being
said, it should be close, it could be a preview of the NFC Championship, but I
expect the home team to handle their business.
Selection: Packers 26 - 49ers 20
*****Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2.5) -
Pay close
attention to my site all year and you will see that I am high on the Panthers
this season, and I think they are a playoff team. Cam Newton is the reason. What he can do with his arm and with his
legs, few quarterbacks in the league can compete with. He has a year under his belt, he has two
tremendous running backs in Williams and Stewart, and of course he has Steve
Smith split out on his left. The
Panthers have the players to win games; it’s the mental mistakes that they have
to limit this season in order to win the close games. This will be a prime example as they go on
the road into Tampa Bay to play a much improved Buccaneers football team. Vinny Jackson acquired in the off season
proves Joshua Freeman with a Pro Bowl receiver, and Doug Martin looks like he
will be a rookie stud in the backfield after winning the starting role from L.
Blount in the preseason. But, a rookie
coach is on the sidelines for the Buccaneers and I expect Greg Schiano to
struggle early in his rookie season. It
is very tough to open your season against a strong, mobile quarterback like Cam
Newton, let alone the fact that it is your first game as a Head Coach in the
NFL. Take the Panthers as the road
favorite.
Selection: Panthers 24 - Buccaneers 17
Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals (+3) - Russell Wilson in his rookie debut against a very weak Arizona Cardinals football team, I like Wilson to impress and get a nice road win for Pete Carrol and the Seahawks.
Selection: Seahawks 17 - Cardinals 9
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos (-2) - I am not sold yet that Peyton Manning can jump right into the NFL and open up with a win against the most ferocious NFL defense of his era. The Steelers are older, but they are savvy veterans and they will get the job done. Manning has not shown that he can make the 20+ yard passes on a crisp, tight line. What he has shown all preseason is that 8-14 yard ins,outs,curls, and back shoulder passes are where he is most comfortable. So this means that Polamalu will be able to play his game, meander through the secondary, and attack these shorter passes. Broncos will not be able to run the ball successfully against the Steelers front seven, so it will be on Manning to outshine Roethlisberger and I do not see that happening. The Steelers should be the favorite here, in my opinion it is an upset if the Broncos win this game. The Steelers will exploit the Broncos secondary with Wallace and Brown on deep routes. Steelers win and spoil Manning's Bronco debut.
Selection: Steelers 20 - Broncos 16
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens (-7) - My prediction for the Bengals this season is that they take a step backwards, and by that I mean that Andy Dalton will not have the success that he did last year. The Ravens boast an All-Pro defense led by Ray and Ed, but it is the Ravens offense that I am looking most forward to this season. I expect Flacco to have a big year throwing to Torrey Smith and Quan Boldin, and we obviously all know what Mr. Rice brings to the table. The Bengals defense is still formidable but I think the Ravens have too many weapons on both sides of the ball, and they know that this could be the year they finally make it to the Super Bowl. Ravens come up guns firing, win in a big way against Cincy.
Selection: Ravens 24 - Bengals 13
San Diego Chargers @ ******Oakland Raiders (-1) - Lock this up. The Chargers are notorious slow starters under Norv Turner and that trend continues this year. Mr. Rivers and Co. won't have enough to answer for the feisty Oakland Raiders. Carson Palmer has weapons, not studs, but weapons on the outside that make plays for him. And of course RUN DMC will be the difference maker in this game for the Raiders on offense. Defensively the Raiders are stout and always play better at home. Seymour is a beast and he will have fun with the Chargers O-Line. Look for the Raiders to make big plays, come up with a big turnover, and capitalize on special teams as the Chargers are always slow starts in the area too. Oakland is a lock at home on Monday night.
Selection - Raider 27 - Chargers 23
Friday, September 7, 2012
Eric's Week 1 Locks
Eric's Record ATS (0-1)
Eric's Locks ATS (0--0)
LOCK
Washington (-7.5) @ New Orleans
There’s a lot to like about this Redskins team. They finally have their quarterback, they boast a stable of running backs (a Shanahan trademark), and found a few new receivers via free agency. Ryan Kerrigan and Bryan Orakpo bookend a stout defensive front that’s sure to give any opposing team all they can handle. The secondary is Washington’s Achilles’heel. Injuries, drug suspensions, and DeAngelo Washington have taken their toll. In a similar vein to the Giants, Washington will work to generate a pass rush to help cover deficiencies in the secondary. Seemingly, their weakness plays right into New Orleans’ strength. However, I’m not sold on New Orleans quite yet. I have no doubt in Drew Brees but when you lose so much continuity in your human capital you will experience some regression. In time, the Saints will adjust but week 1 with no film on a dynamic player like RGIII spells trouble. New Orleans pulls out the win, but it will not come easy.
Washington 24 New Orleans 30
LOCK
Buffalo -3 @ New York Jets
I know the preseason is a joke. I know Tim Tebow is a winner. I know Buffalo over paid for Mario Williams. I know there’s alot of reason to believe the Bills are overrated and the Jets were playing possum throughout the preseason. Despite this knowledge, I think this games goes south quickly for New York followed by an ensuing panic. It feels as though the Jets are grasping for straws. New York pinned their offensive hopes to a gimmicky passé fad. Regardless of what people think of Tebow as a quarterback, his signing undermines Mark Sanchez’s role as the team leader and certainly did nothing to aid his confidence. Defensively, New York remains about the same only a year older. Perhaps desperate times call for desperate measures and if things do go south, this team’s only value will be its train-wreck-esque viewing appeal.
Buffalo made a big flashy move to sign Mario Williams. Buffalo found itself on the better end of a number of turnovers in 2011. Once that luck dried up, so did the team’s winning ways. The Bills hope that Williams will bring his all pro level potential and turn it into all pro level results. It’s a great matchup for Williams. The Jets line remains in disarray and unless Curtis Martin comes running out of the tunnel, the running game will play a minimal role in the final score. Buffalo’s offense gets Fred Jackson back but I think we’ll see more of CJ Spiller than we did an the onset of last season. Nelson, Johnson, and Chandler might struggle to find their way against the Jets’ secondary, but without a reliable pass rush, they will find spots and move the chains. I dislike the Jets more than I like the Bills in this one. Perhaps I should know better than to bet against Tebow, but until he finds his way to the field for more than a few snaps, I’ll take my chances.
Buffalo 23 New York 6
LOCK
Seattle -3 @ Arizona
Matt Flynn is like that new girl you start to date only to end up marrying her roommate. Seattle never meant for this to happen, it just did. Seattle signed the top free agent quarterback available only to bench him in favor of a rookie obtained in the supplemental draft. Wilson, the Collegiate High School product, clearly beat out Flynn in the open competition. There’s a great deal of buzz surrounding Wilson and an apparently resurgent Braylon Edwards. Pete Carroll makes more moves than your average fantasy team owner,but Seattle is only a year removed from a playoff push and boasts a nice mix of veterans and youth. Arizona is experiencing the exact opposite feeling for their quarterbacks. High priced mistake and now backup Kevin Kolb will find a way to get sacked without taking a snap while John Skelton fires bullets 10 feet off Larry Fitzgerald’s head. Dark Days for Bill Cower impersonator Ken Wisenhunt and Russ Grim. The silver lining in Arizona is a return for Ryan Williams who missed his rookie campaign due to injury. Even if Williams’ceiling is somewhere around Adrian Peterson, today’s NFL requires more than a fantastic running game.
Seattle 17 Arizona 9
Eric's Locks ATS (0--0)
LOCK
Washington (-7.5) @ New Orleans
There’s a lot to like about this Redskins team. They finally have their quarterback, they boast a stable of running backs (a Shanahan trademark), and found a few new receivers via free agency. Ryan Kerrigan and Bryan Orakpo bookend a stout defensive front that’s sure to give any opposing team all they can handle. The secondary is Washington’s Achilles’heel. Injuries, drug suspensions, and DeAngelo Washington have taken their toll. In a similar vein to the Giants, Washington will work to generate a pass rush to help cover deficiencies in the secondary. Seemingly, their weakness plays right into New Orleans’ strength. However, I’m not sold on New Orleans quite yet. I have no doubt in Drew Brees but when you lose so much continuity in your human capital you will experience some regression. In time, the Saints will adjust but week 1 with no film on a dynamic player like RGIII spells trouble. New Orleans pulls out the win, but it will not come easy.
Washington 24 New Orleans 30
LOCK
Buffalo -3 @ New York Jets
I know the preseason is a joke. I know Tim Tebow is a winner. I know Buffalo over paid for Mario Williams. I know there’s alot of reason to believe the Bills are overrated and the Jets were playing possum throughout the preseason. Despite this knowledge, I think this games goes south quickly for New York followed by an ensuing panic. It feels as though the Jets are grasping for straws. New York pinned their offensive hopes to a gimmicky passé fad. Regardless of what people think of Tebow as a quarterback, his signing undermines Mark Sanchez’s role as the team leader and certainly did nothing to aid his confidence. Defensively, New York remains about the same only a year older. Perhaps desperate times call for desperate measures and if things do go south, this team’s only value will be its train-wreck-esque viewing appeal.
Buffalo made a big flashy move to sign Mario Williams. Buffalo found itself on the better end of a number of turnovers in 2011. Once that luck dried up, so did the team’s winning ways. The Bills hope that Williams will bring his all pro level potential and turn it into all pro level results. It’s a great matchup for Williams. The Jets line remains in disarray and unless Curtis Martin comes running out of the tunnel, the running game will play a minimal role in the final score. Buffalo’s offense gets Fred Jackson back but I think we’ll see more of CJ Spiller than we did an the onset of last season. Nelson, Johnson, and Chandler might struggle to find their way against the Jets’ secondary, but without a reliable pass rush, they will find spots and move the chains. I dislike the Jets more than I like the Bills in this one. Perhaps I should know better than to bet against Tebow, but until he finds his way to the field for more than a few snaps, I’ll take my chances.
Buffalo 23 New York 6
LOCK
Seattle -3 @ Arizona
Matt Flynn is like that new girl you start to date only to end up marrying her roommate. Seattle never meant for this to happen, it just did. Seattle signed the top free agent quarterback available only to bench him in favor of a rookie obtained in the supplemental draft. Wilson, the Collegiate High School product, clearly beat out Flynn in the open competition. There’s a great deal of buzz surrounding Wilson and an apparently resurgent Braylon Edwards. Pete Carroll makes more moves than your average fantasy team owner,but Seattle is only a year removed from a playoff push and boasts a nice mix of veterans and youth. Arizona is experiencing the exact opposite feeling for their quarterbacks. High priced mistake and now backup Kevin Kolb will find a way to get sacked without taking a snap while John Skelton fires bullets 10 feet off Larry Fitzgerald’s head. Dark Days for Bill Cower impersonator Ken Wisenhunt and Russ Grim. The silver lining in Arizona is a return for Ryan Williams who missed his rookie campaign due to injury. Even if Williams’ceiling is somewhere around Adrian Peterson, today’s NFL requires more than a fantastic running game.
Seattle 17 Arizona 9
NFL 2012-2013 Season Predictions
NFC East - AFC East -
1 - Philadelphia Eagles 11-5 1 - New England Patriots 12-4
2 - Dallas Cowboys 9-7 2 - Buffalo Bills 7-9
3 - New York Giants 8-8 3 - New York Jets 5-11
4 - Washington Redskins 7-9 4 - Miami Dolphins 4-12
NFC North - AFC North -
1 - Green Bay Packers 12-4* 1 - Baltimore Ravens 12-4
2 - Chicago Bears 11-5 2 - Pittsburgh Steelers 10-6
3 - Detroit Lions 10-6 3 - Cincinnati Bengals 6-10
4 - Minnesota Vikings 4-12 4 - Cleveland Browns 1-15
NFC South - AFC South -
1 - Atlanta Falcons 12-4 1 - Houston Texans 12-4*
2 - Carolina Panthers 10-6 2 - Tennessee Titans 10-6
3 - New Orleans Saints 8-8 3 - Indianapolis Colts 5-11
4 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7-9 4 - Jacksonville Jaguars 3-13
NFC West - AFC West -
1 - San Francisco 49ers 11-5 1 - Kansas City Chiefs 8-8
2 - Seattle Seahawks 7-9 2 - San Diego Chargers 8-8
3 - St. Louis Rams 6-10 3 - Denver Broncos 8-8
4 - Arizona Cardinals 3-13 4 - Oakland Raiders 7-9
NFC Playoffs -
Round 1 -
Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles - Eagles win
Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers - 49ers win
Round 2 -
Philadelphia Eagles @ Atlanta Falcons - Eagles win
San Francisco 49ers @ Green Bay Packers - 49ers win
NFC Championship
49ers @ Eagles - Eagles win
AFC Playoffs -
Round 1 -
Tennessee Titans @ New England Patriots - Patriots win
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Kansas City Chiefs - Steelers win
Round 2 -
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Houston Texans - Texans win
New England Patriots @ Baltimore Ravens - Patriots win
AFC Championship
Patriots @ Texans - Patriots win
SUPERBOWL -
New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles
PHILADELPHIA WINS
Wednesday, September 5, 2012
Danny's Selection - Cowboys @ Giants (-4)
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants (-4)
The spread tells you that Vegas does not think much of the Cowboys tonight. That being said, with Witten and Ratliff both being ruled out, why has the line not jumped to 5.5/6? Dallas invites fear into the sportsbookies eyes as they have an explosive offense, featuring two good running backs and two stud receivers. Tony Romo has always played well under the lights, regular season lights I mean of course, and I believe he will step up tonight.
12 straight years the defending Super Bowl Champions have opened the next regular season with a win. That streak ends tonight.
The Giants boast a stout defensive line headlined with Osi, Tuck, and Pierre-Paul among others. However, the Giants still remain thin in the secondary and that leaves plenty of room for the Cowboys to make big plays down the field. Expect a lot of screens, draws, and play action passes to exploit the Giants defense. Romo does a good job scrambling out of the pocket and extending the play. He will be rushed and hurried often tonight so he will be forced to make some big plays.
Eli Mannings and the defending champion New York Football Giants have a strong offensive attack. But is Nicks healthy enough to be a weapon tonight? Is Bennett ready to take a "giant" stride tonight and exploit a subpar linebacker group from Dallas? I do not think so, and this will hurt the Giants. Lastly, I truly believe the Giants will miss Brandon Jacobs in their ground game. The Giants only gained 3.6 yards per carry last year, but in the playoffs Bradshaw and Jacobs ran hard and ran well. Bradshaw had always been prone to fumbling, and how much faith can you put in rookie running back David Wilson if you are a Gianta fan.
Two very good quarterbacks go head to head tonight. The Championship banner will be raised and the ring ceremony will be emotional. But Dallas will scratch and claw out of the Meadowlands with a surprise victory.
"Both Manning's lose their home openers in Week 1", sounds like a good headline right?
Danny's Pick:
Dallas 24 - Giants 20
Eric's Selection - Dallas @ New York Giants (-4)
Dallas @ NY Giants (-4)
The stink of another late season melt down still lingers over this Dallas squad. The usual preseason hype didn’t seem to build with the fervor of past years. In its place were conversations about windows and their relative openness, the domestic life of Dez Bryant, and legal collusion. Aside from a few outliers, no one really think this Cowboys team is a contender and most rank them as the 3rd or 4th best team in the division. The core of this Dallas team came together a generation ago (in football years). Witten, Romo, Ratliff, Austin, and Ware are all holdovers from the Bill Parcells-built team. In the years since Parcells’ departure, Jones and Co. failed to surround them with consistent talent and coaching to win. Sure, Tyron Smith was a great pick and Dez Bryant could breakout into a superstar but those are the exceptions. Aside from Smith, the offensive line is a mess. Instead of grabbing young talent in the draft or making a play for a proven starter, Jones spent millions on castoffs from the Panthers and Bengals. Phil Costa, who FootballOutsiders ranked as the worst starting center in the NFL returns after an off season marred by back injuries. Doug Free was moved back to right tackle after spending 2011 doing his impression of a human turnstile on the left. On those plays Tony Romo isn’t running for his life, it remains unclear who he will throw to. Miles Austin’s hamstrings are apparently made of tissue paper and Dez Bryant requires a chaperon to leave his living room. University of Virginia unknowns Kevin Ogletree and John Phillips will try to break through as the 3rd receiver and backup tight end- so Dallas has got that going for them. The Giants may have questions in the secondary but given Dallas’ question marks on the offensive line and the disarray at the skill positions, I can’t imagine the vaunted New York pass rush being held at bay for 4 quarters.
Dallas did make moves to improve their cornerback position. The additions of Brandon Carr and Mo Claiborne as well as the return Mike Jenkins should give Dallas’ defense a shot in the arm. Mike Jenkins doesn’t want to play for the Cowboys. He played with injuries last season and underwent surgery on his shoulder during the off season. After Dallas made the moves for Carr and Claiborne he demanded a trade (he asked for an extension before the Claiborne move). He took his time coming back and even missed his first practice back after the shoulder surgery with what he claims was a migraine. You could say he is disgruntled, but I’m not sure he was ever gruntled to begin with. Dallas elected not to do anything else of note on defense. They promoted glorified linebacker Barry Church to a starting safety spot and franchised perpetual underachiever Anthony Spencer. Will the new corners be enough to compete with Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks? Nicks and Cruz annihilated Dallas in the finale last year. Visions of Terrance Newman chasing Cruz down the sideline remain seared in my brain. Rob Ryan’s complex defense confused his own players more often than opposing offenses in 2011. Will a few new corners change all of that? The Ryan shtick is wearing thin in a few NFL cities and they may have more time to spend as a family in the near future. Dallas failed to generate any kind of a pass rush against New York last year. Aside from Ware, it’s a middling group of pass rushers at best. Could past failures to generate pressure be due to a porous secondary? Maybe-but it seems that logic works better in the reverse. No one thinks NewYork’s secondary is filled with All Pros but the pass rush covers up many of the deficiencies they have. New York shouldn’t have trouble with unproven DeMarco Murray up front. Murray exploded last season but the lion’s share of his numbers came in a romp over a hideous Rams team. The defending champs are a tough draw on opening night and given the glaring holes on Dallas’ O-line and injuries to key figures, the Giants win one that’s not as close at the score indicates.
GIANTS 23 - Cowboys 13
The stink of another late season melt down still lingers over this Dallas squad. The usual preseason hype didn’t seem to build with the fervor of past years. In its place were conversations about windows and their relative openness, the domestic life of Dez Bryant, and legal collusion. Aside from a few outliers, no one really think this Cowboys team is a contender and most rank them as the 3rd or 4th best team in the division. The core of this Dallas team came together a generation ago (in football years). Witten, Romo, Ratliff, Austin, and Ware are all holdovers from the Bill Parcells-built team. In the years since Parcells’ departure, Jones and Co. failed to surround them with consistent talent and coaching to win. Sure, Tyron Smith was a great pick and Dez Bryant could breakout into a superstar but those are the exceptions. Aside from Smith, the offensive line is a mess. Instead of grabbing young talent in the draft or making a play for a proven starter, Jones spent millions on castoffs from the Panthers and Bengals. Phil Costa, who FootballOutsiders ranked as the worst starting center in the NFL returns after an off season marred by back injuries. Doug Free was moved back to right tackle after spending 2011 doing his impression of a human turnstile on the left. On those plays Tony Romo isn’t running for his life, it remains unclear who he will throw to. Miles Austin’s hamstrings are apparently made of tissue paper and Dez Bryant requires a chaperon to leave his living room. University of Virginia unknowns Kevin Ogletree and John Phillips will try to break through as the 3rd receiver and backup tight end- so Dallas has got that going for them. The Giants may have questions in the secondary but given Dallas’ question marks on the offensive line and the disarray at the skill positions, I can’t imagine the vaunted New York pass rush being held at bay for 4 quarters.
Dallas did make moves to improve their cornerback position. The additions of Brandon Carr and Mo Claiborne as well as the return Mike Jenkins should give Dallas’ defense a shot in the arm. Mike Jenkins doesn’t want to play for the Cowboys. He played with injuries last season and underwent surgery on his shoulder during the off season. After Dallas made the moves for Carr and Claiborne he demanded a trade (he asked for an extension before the Claiborne move). He took his time coming back and even missed his first practice back after the shoulder surgery with what he claims was a migraine. You could say he is disgruntled, but I’m not sure he was ever gruntled to begin with. Dallas elected not to do anything else of note on defense. They promoted glorified linebacker Barry Church to a starting safety spot and franchised perpetual underachiever Anthony Spencer. Will the new corners be enough to compete with Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks? Nicks and Cruz annihilated Dallas in the finale last year. Visions of Terrance Newman chasing Cruz down the sideline remain seared in my brain. Rob Ryan’s complex defense confused his own players more often than opposing offenses in 2011. Will a few new corners change all of that? The Ryan shtick is wearing thin in a few NFL cities and they may have more time to spend as a family in the near future. Dallas failed to generate any kind of a pass rush against New York last year. Aside from Ware, it’s a middling group of pass rushers at best. Could past failures to generate pressure be due to a porous secondary? Maybe-but it seems that logic works better in the reverse. No one thinks NewYork’s secondary is filled with All Pros but the pass rush covers up many of the deficiencies they have. New York shouldn’t have trouble with unproven DeMarco Murray up front. Murray exploded last season but the lion’s share of his numbers came in a romp over a hideous Rams team. The defending champs are a tough draw on opening night and given the glaring holes on Dallas’ O-line and injuries to key figures, the Giants win one that’s not as close at the score indicates.
GIANTS 23 - Cowboys 13
NFL Layout for Sunday Picks
What to expect to see between today and Saturday:
Today - 1) Cowboys vs Giants preview and prediction
2) NFL Predictions (division winners all the way to the Super Bowl winner)
3) NFL Awards predictions
4) A Suicide Pool selection for Week 1
Thursday - Saturday
- Top 10 Position Fantasy Predictions
- Teams to look out for to be sleepers
- Every game for Week 1 to be previewed and a winner predicted
- 4 Stone Cold Locks for the Week*
*New this year, these will be the Top 4 Bets of the week
Today - 1) Cowboys vs Giants preview and prediction
2) NFL Predictions (division winners all the way to the Super Bowl winner)
3) NFL Awards predictions
4) A Suicide Pool selection for Week 1
Thursday - Saturday
- Top 10 Position Fantasy Predictions
- Teams to look out for to be sleepers
- Every game for Week 1 to be previewed and a winner predicted
- 4 Stone Cold Locks for the Week*
*New this year, these will be the Top 4 Bets of the week
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