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Sunday, November 11, 2012

Danny's Week 10 Picks


Danny’s NFL Week 10 Selections

 

Buffalo @ New England -13.5

This should be a rather high scoring game as both offenses put up a ton of points.  Home field advantage and two weeks rest should have the Patriots fired up.

Pick – Patriots 41 – Bills 24

 

 

New York Giants @ Cincinnati +4.5

Giants head into the bye week slumping.  A tough loss last week against the Steelers and now going against a very hungry home team that doesn’t want to lose its fifth straight game.

Pick-  Bengals 27 – Giants 26

 

Lock #1

San Diego @ Tampa Bay -3

The epic pick against the west coast team coming to the east coast for a 1pm game happens three times today. The east coast team dominates this statistic. 

Pick – Tampa 27 – Chargers 20

 

Denver @ Carolina +4

I love this matchup for the Panthers.  The Broncos defense has not been tested by a quarterback like Cam Newton this season and the Broncos have faced a tough schedule the last two weeks.  They traveled east to play the Bengals, went back to Denver, and now back to the east coast to play a 1pm game against a fiery team that has played consistently better the past 4 games.  Upset city?  Expect at least a Falcons cover.

Pick – Panthers 30 – Broncos 27

 

Lock #2

Tennessee @ Miami -6

I love the Dolphins going up against Locker in this matchup.  They get a great pass rush and the Linebackers are fast enough to prevent Locker’s leg from coming into play.

Pick – Dolphins 31 – Titans 17

 

Oakland @ Baltimore -7.5

Once again, this is the west coast team coming to the east for a 1pm game.  Advantage Ravens.

Pick – Ravens 26 – Raiders 16

 

 

Lock #3

Atlanta @ New Orleans +1.5

Huge game for Matty Ice, if the Falcons lose this game they will be the fuel to ignite the Saints fire for a comeback.   Against the Eagles the Saints defense looked very good because of their constant pressure against Vick.  That will not happen in this game as the Falcons offensive line is far advanced from the Eagles.   Falcons have too much fire power.

Pick -  Falcons 34 – Saints 24

 

 

Lock #4

Detroit @ Minnesota +3

No Percy Harvin means the Lions will do everything in their power to shut down Adrian Peterson.  If Stafford is able to use the ground game to open up the play action plays in the playbook, then this is a no contest win for the Lions on the road.

Pick – Lions -31 – Vikings 18

 

*Upset #2  of the Week

New York Jets @ Seattle -6

This is a very bold pick.  I feel far more confident in the Jets covering the 6 point spread than I do them winning outright, but I love this game.  The Seahawks are coming off a tough loss to Detroit and now head into the bye week with what appears to be an easy win at home against the Jets.  The Jets however, are coming off a bye week and should be very prepared to make this a low scoring game and potentially create a few turnovers from Russell Wilson.  Take the Jets in a low scoring game.

Pick – Jets 17 – Seahawks 16

 

Dallas @ Philadelphia +2.5

How can anyone seriously pick the Eagles with confidence?  The offensive line of the Eagles is horrible and that is their major flaw.  Romo beats Vick in the fourth quarter.

Pick – Dallas 24 – Eagles 17

 

St. Louis @ San Francisco -13

49ers should win this home game, but expect Jeff Fisher to keep this close.

Pick – 49ers 20 – Rams 10

 

Houston @ Chicago -1

Houston’s defensive front seven versus Chicago’s  offensive line = Texans road win.

Pick – Houston 24 – Chicago 20

 

Kansas City @ Pittsburgh -11

Come on man.  Steelers easy.

Pick -  Steelers 31 – Chiefs 17

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