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Friday, December 21, 2012

BALL STATE +7.5 vs Central Florida

Friday Night

Beef O'Brady Bowl

BALL STATE VS Central Florida

Trends I like here -

Ball State on the season is 9-3 ATS, and 14-4 on Turf in the Last 3
years. This team is fast on both sides of the ball and they have won
their past 4 games in this fashion of 31-24 type of scores

Central Florida has been a team where the Over has been favorable;
10-3 this season. But in the last 3 years in non-conference games the
trend is 9-2 in favor of the UNDER

UCF played TULSA is 2 of the last 3 weeks and lost both games throwing
for under 200 yards in both and averaging under 3 yards per carry,
the fact that they couldn't win either game especially with the IN
BETWEENER beeing a blowout against UAB makes me question the
preparation for Ball State


I have 3 plays for this game

UNDER 59.5 3* Pick

BALL STATE +7.5 4* Pick

BALL STATE MONEY LINE +250 2* Pick

I really like Ball State getting this many points as these two teams
are evenly matched but i see no reason for UCF to be "up" for it. I
like the under for the fact that ball state has had over a month to
prepare for the orthodox offense of UCF

9units on the line

record - 2-1 +8.7 units

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