College Bowl Picks 12/27/12 - 01/01/13

-2.1 overall
5-6 ats

have slipped last 5 selections, big turnaround here over the next few days

writeups to follow

12/27 games

san jose state -7 3* selection

cincy/duke over 60.5 4* selection

baylor/ucla over 81 5* selection

12/28 games

UL-Monroe/Ohio over 61 3*

UL-Monroe -7 2*

Rutgers/V Tech under 41 4*

Texas Tech -13 5*

12/29 games

Air Force/Rice over 61.5 4*

Navy +14.5 2*

WVA/Cuse over 73 7*

Oregon State -3 5*

TCU -3 3*

TCU/MSU under 41 3*

12/31 games

NC State/Vandy under 52 3*

GTech/USC over 64 5*

Iowa State -1 2*

Clemson/LSU over 5*

1/1 games

Purdue/OK ST over 70 9*

OK ST -16.5 7*

Northwestern +1.5 5*

South Carolina -6 2*

UGA -10 3*

UGA/Nebraska under 60.5 3*

Stanford -6.5 4*

Northern Illinois +13.5 2*

1/2 -National Championship to come

Eric's NFL WEEK 16 LOCKS

Locks



New York Giants -1 @ Baltimore



The Giants are coming off an embarrassing defeat at the hands of the
Falcons. The Giants are given the benefit of the doubt because we've
seen them look terrible before only to turn it on for a late season
run. However, I don't think this particular incarnation of the Giants
has the ferocity to make a serious run. Hakeem Nicks is either hurt
or someone stole his powers (think Austin Powers 2) and Bradshaw has
failed to consistently stay on the field. A week ago I extolled the
virtues of David Wilson. He excelled in his first game as the
featured back but regressed in the second. However, I think that may
have been due in large part to the ever increasing point deficit.
Baltimore's defense can't seem to stop anyone on the ground. With
Bradshaw and Wilson splitting reps, the load should come off of Eli
considerably this week.



Flacco isn't playing well. He has options at receiver and tight end,
an all pro caliber running back and serviceable line but he has failed
to take that next step. He may be the Medoza line for NFL QB's. Any
worse and you might as well rebuild, any better and you're competing
for the playoffs. Flacco has the physical tools but something's
missing that prevents him from taking the next step. The Giants run
the ball all over Baltimore and Flacco fails to do enough for the win.



NYG 23 BAL 20





Buffalo @ Miami -4.5



Buffalo is bad. Ryan Fitzpatrick is living off his early season
stretch from a year ago. He's a backup QB. He's got a few weapons
but he rarely shows the ability or aptitude to take full advantage of
them. Defensively, Mario Williams is playing well but certainly
nowhere near the Bills hoped when the inked that free agent deal.
Buffalo struggles in almost every facet of the game. Miami, on the
other hand, isn't that bad. In fact, they're a good-bad team. Reggie
Bush has quietly put together another solid year (just under 900 yards
and 5 TDs) and Ryan Tannahill isn't the train wreck I expected him to
be coming into the season. He's a big strong guy who flashes
brilliance. Brian Hartline even eclipsed the 1k mark last week in
receiving yards. Defensively, Miami excels against the run. CJ
Spiller isn't likely to find day light running into the Dolphins
front. Miami's secondary leaves something to be desired, but they
parted ways in the offseason with a couple of key veterans as a part
of an overall culture change. Those moves left the defense vulnerable
to the passing attack but I think the Miami brass sees that as a
growing pain. They're trending in the right direction as the Bills
head south. Look for the Dolphins to finish strong and build
expectations for next year.



BUFF 17 MIA 24

SATURDAY BOWL GAMES

3-3 in bowl game bets this year, +5.7 units

2 games saturday

ECU @ UL-LAFAYETTE -6.5 / 67

both teams come in with 3 game winning streaks

trends show that in non-conference games over the last three years the
over is 9-2 with UL-LAF, they also show that over the last three years
when ECU plays a team with a winning record they are 2-8 in ten games
ATS.

I like UL-Lafayette to cover the spread in this game. This is a home
game as it is played in the Superdome and it is on turf so itll be a
fast track for these two teams.

Flat out ECU scores 26+ in this game just because they make explosive
plays in the passing game. I put this game at 41-31 in favor of
UL-Laf

Considering its a nationally televised game, the points will flourish
early, i will up the total, get on with the public, and also take this
under in what has the makings of a shootout written all over it.

2 Picks in this game

UL LAF -6.5 3* pick
OVER 67 5* pick


Washington vs Boise State -5.5 / 43.5

Two physical styled teams in this matchup. Both have better defenses
than their offenses, and while they are not on the Blue Turf, i give
the edge to the move senior laden team of Boise State. This should be
a defensive battle and I expect more field goals than touchdowns.

Boise held Nevada to just 227 yards rushing on 47 attempts, theyve
caused 11 turnovers in their last 5 games (4-1) and they didn;t allow
over 21 points in those games either

Washington has caused 19 turnovers in their last 5 games, only
allowing 120 yards per game rushing in their last five games, but
Keith Price and their offense has been inconsistent all year.

Take the under in this game, the sharpe money is on it and the public
will jump on the over and push the line backup ti 44.5/45 area.

Under 43.5 3*



RECORD - 1-2 on Friday in the ball state game
3-3 overall (+5.3 units)

BALL STATE +7.5 vs Central Florida

Friday Night

Beef O'Brady Bowl

BALL STATE VS Central Florida

Trends I like here -

Ball State on the season is 9-3 ATS, and 14-4 on Turf in the Last 3
years. This team is fast on both sides of the ball and they have won
their past 4 games in this fashion of 31-24 type of scores

Central Florida has been a team where the Over has been favorable;
10-3 this season. But in the last 3 years in non-conference games the
trend is 9-2 in favor of the UNDER

UCF played TULSA is 2 of the last 3 weeks and lost both games throwing
for under 200 yards in both and averaging under 3 yards per carry,
the fact that they couldn't win either game especially with the IN
BETWEENER beeing a blowout against UAB makes me question the
preparation for Ball State


I have 3 plays for this game

UNDER 59.5 3* Pick

BALL STATE +7.5 4* Pick

BALL STATE MONEY LINE +250 2* Pick

I really like Ball State getting this many points as these two teams
are evenly matched but i see no reason for UCF to be "up" for it. I
like the under for the fact that ball state has had over a month to
prepare for the orthodox offense of UCF

9units on the line

record - 2-1 +8.7 units

Fwd: poinsetta bowl

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: "Daniel Overcash" <dannyovercash@gmail.com>
Date: Dec 20, 2012 3:53 PM
Subject: poinsetta bowl
To: "Dan Kozek" <dankozek@gmail.com>, "Frederick (Tripp) Weber" <frederick.weber@gmail.com>, "Mitch Heckert" <hensball18@yahoo.com>, "Ryan Overcash" <Ryan.overcash@gmail.com>, "Brad Miller" <btm3586@gmail.com>

byu vs sdsu

byu has one of the best defenses in the nation, especially against the run, sdsu is a one dimensional team and their qb has yet to play in a big game this year since taking over

byu is a defense and field position type of team, only allowing 15 ppg

sdsu has.a decent defense that will.contain the limited offense of byu, but I flat out see the byu field.position battle being the difference in this game

line has been out for over two weeks and it has slightly dropped since opening at 48 total points

6* bet   UNDER 47.5

byu 17 sdsu 13

record 1-1 (+2.7)

nfl picks sunday week 15

released earlier this week

texans -8.5
lions -5.5

today added picks

patriots -4
bucs +3.5

good luck

2 Saturday Bowl Picks

PICKS and PREVIEWS BELOW - Arizona i am taking -8, and Utah State 1Q -3


New Mexico Bowl - Nevada vs Arizona

This game opened at Arizona -9.5 and the O/U set at 75

Currently this game is at Arizona -8 and the O/U at 80, so there has
been a lot of movement on the side and total.

This game pits the top two running backs in College football this
year; Arizona has Ka'Deem Carey averaging 146 yards per game and
Nevada has Stefphon Jefferson averaging 142 yards per game. Nevada's
defense gives up over 210 rushing yards per game and Arizona's defense
is allowing 190 yards rushing per game, so even in the mid 30s I
expect some points to be scored early and often.

The advantage in this game for me is to the more tested Arizona
Wildcats who have been consistent throughout the season in putting up
points and playing well after losses. Outside of blowout losses to
UCLA and Oregon, the Wildcats knocked off USC and lost to Stanford by
6. The Wolfpack's top win is against Cal at Cal...not that impressive.

Nevada is 0-7 in games when the O/U is set at 63+, 2-8-1 ATS in their
last non-conference games, and 0-4-1 ATS in bowl games as a program.

Arizona is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 coming off a home game scoring
and allowing 31+ points

The time off to heal up, practice, and prepare to stop Jefferson will
give the edge to the Wildcats. Nevada solely depends on their ground
game while the Wildcats can throw the deep ball well.

My pick for this game is Arizona -8 as I think they can cover and get
up early in this game. They are the better team, they are faster, and
can put up points quick running the ball and throwing the ball.
Stopping the run isn't the thing they do best, but with a few weeks to
prepare I expect them to contain Jefferson and get ahead early in this
game.

PICK - ARIZONA -8 3* selection




Potato Bowl - Toledo @ Utah State

This game opened at Utah State -9.5 and the total at 57.5. Currently
the line is set at Utah State -10.5 and the total at 58.5

Utah State is 10-1-1 ATS on the season and they bolster one of the
nations stingiest defenses only allowing 15 ppg and 111 yards rushing
per game. This will be an issue for Toledo who is a team that depends
a lot on their ground game.

Utah State's QB Chuckie Keeton is 14th in the nation in passing
efficiency, the Aggies have won 6 straight games, and the Aggies
should have more fans at this game.

Toledo has question marks in this game as star running back David
Fluellen is coming off an ankle injury, star qb Terrance Owens missed
the regular season finale and he is a game time decision for this
game. Worth noting, the senior backup Austin Danton had a nice
fill-in performance for Owens against Akron throwing 5 TD passes to
close the season on a high note.

The biggest advantage in this game is Utah State's highly efficient
offense against the Toledo defense that ranks 104th in the nation and
allows over 411 total yards per game.

I think this is a big game for Utah State and for their program. Utah
State is 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 non-conference games. I like
Utah State to win this game and win this game in a big way.

My pick however is an interesting one and it is for a nice amount.

Utah State has outscored their opponents 131-6 in the 1st quarter this
season and I expect that trend to continue today. Utah State is -3 in
the 1Q and I think they go up 10-0 to open the game. This defense has
too much speed and tenacity and Toledo will not be able to get it
going until the 2nd quarter.

I do like Utah State to cover the 10.5 points and win this game 42-21,
but i feel much more confident in a fast start for the Aggies in the
first quarter.

PICK - UTAH STATE -3 1st -QUARTER 6* Selection

4Pack for Sunday NFL picks

Giants -5 
Browns -6.5

these two plays were released earlier this week

Bears -1
Colts -4

good luck

Eric loves Baltimore today

Sunday NFL 5 Pack - Picks Against the Spread

Over 41 San Francisco 49ers @ St. Louis Rams

Last time these two met they went into overtime and ended with a tie.
Things won't go that way this time around. With Kaepernick behind
center the 49ers now I have a true deep ball thrower and their offense
is even more explosive. The Rams will be able to do 13-17 points and
I expect this to be at least a 10 point win for the 49ers. Expect the
ground and pound from Frank Gore, but the deep ball to Davis,
Crabtree, and Randy Moss to come into play.

Pick - Over 41 - 49ers 34 - Rams 17



Detroit Lions -5 vs Indianapolis Colts

The Lions have played some good teams very tough lately, and they are
due for a big win in front of their home crowd. The Colts are coming
off an emotional home win with the Head Coach battling cancer in
attendance. Luck will put up some big yards in this game, but I think
the Lions will hold them to field goals and the big plays of Stafford
to Megatron wil be in full effect. Take the Lions to win by atleast a
touchdown in this matchup.

Pick - Lions -5 Detroit 30 - Indy 20



Houston Texans - 6.5 @ Tennessee Titans

The Titans are not a good football team, and that being said the
Texans are a good football team that desperately needs to remind
themselves that they have a very talented and formiddable defense. JJ
Watt will be a dominant force up front, but can the over-exploited
secondary of the Texans step up to the plate this week and shut down
the attack from Jake Locker. Schaub has been fantastic over the past
three games and I fully expect him to have another good stat day
against one of the worst defenses in the NFL. The Texans will
emphasize the run and they should be very active on defense.

Pick -- Texans -6.5 Houston 27 - Tennessee 13



Over 46 Cincinatti @ San Diego

The Bengals have had no issues putting up points of late and I think
the Chargers are due in a big way here. All the talk of Norv being
done in San DIego are true, but this is a great test for Norv and for
Phil Rivers to step up and perform in a big way and basically audition
for a new coaching gig. The Bengals will get caught sleeping early
and have to play catchup which is why I love this number.

Pick - Over 46 Chargers 30 - Bengals 27



Over 45 Packers vs Vikings

Percy Harvin is out, Charles Woodson is out, and Clay Matthews is out.
Expect AP to have success running the ball and Ponder will use the
play action pass to open up the field. On the other end, after an
embarassing loss on primetime television, yeah, expect Rodgers to go
off on the Vikings secondary. I like points and I think we will see a
high scoring game at half time.

Pick - Over 45 Packers 33 - Vikings 20

Saturday College Football 3-Pack

As promised, for those that follow, I have been red hot in college football the past 6 weeks (18-7-1) 72%, so I will begin posting selections and I will also post picks and write ups for every bowl game this year.

Today I see three on the board that I like:

In order-

#1 Kansas State -10.5 - This is the last time heisman hopeful C. Klein will be on the national stage.  A two week layoff after an embarassing loss to Baylor on the road  will have Kansas State more than ready to take on a Texas team that will not be up for the challenge.  What does KSU do best? Run the football.  What does Texas' defense struggle most with? Stopping the run!  Kansas State will be up for this game on both ends of the ball, and expect Klein to put up big numbers for one last heisman push.  One sided game here, Kansas State's defense will shine.

Pick- Kansas State 42 - Texas 17

#2 - Over 57.5 Baylor vs Nevada - Let's not forget the upset Nevada pulled off two years ago when they eliminated Boise from a BCS National Championship bid. Boise can score points and their defense will create turnovers.  Nevada can run the ball very well so I expect them to score early, and then collect a garbage score or two late in the 4th quarter.  Boise gets the win, but Nevada keeps the score high with a few late scores.

Pick  - Boise 40 - Nevada 28

#3 Pittsburgh -6 - South Florida has a good defense, but since the broken.ankle to BJ Daniels their offense has suffered mightily.   Pitt has play well of late, and the production of star running back Ray Graham has been key.  Pitt's defense has also been formiddable all season and I expect turnovers to help our cause. Pitt wins a low scoring affair.

Pick -  Pittsburgh 24 - South Florida 10

Good luck and stay tuned for the Sunday 5 Pack to be posted later today.
-Danny

Week 12 4 Pack of Picks - Danny

I will no longer be posting every game as I cannot guarentee the time
and quality for each pick. It will be a Saturday and Sunday 4 Pack
from here on out. By Saturday I mean College Football picks where I
have been very successful the past two years.


Here we go: ( In order )

#1

Pick - Seattle -3 @ Miami - Love the Seahawks coming off a bye week.
Do not fall into the west coast to east coast balogny here as the
Hawks have had plenty time to travel and accomodate to the time zone.
Seattle is 7-3 ats on the season, they stop the run just as good as
the top teams in the league, and more importantly they dominate the
passing attack of other teams. Seattle's corners are tall, fast, and
physical at the line of scrimmage. You really thing Hartline and Bess
matchup well? The Dolphins on the other hand are 4-5-1 ats on the
season, they stop the run as well as the Seahawks, but they struggle
mightily against the pass. Russ Wilson should spread the field open,
his playbook will be wide open today, and the playaction pass will
come into play in the second half to a big affect. Miami is on a 3
game losing streak and those losses came against Tennessee,
Indianapolis, and Buffalo; teams will inferior defenses. I just
cannot predict a scenario for the Dolphins to win this game. The
Seahawks are well rested, far superior defensively, and Wilson has
looked better each week behind center. If the Seahawks can come open
fast and put up a touchdown on their opening drive, I honestly thing
the game is over. Tannehill looked horendous against the Bills
defense that completely shut down the running attack of the Phins.
This is my top pick on sunday.

Take the Seahawks 24 - 9

#2

Pick - Denver -10 - The Broncos are hot right now. Offensively they
are clicking on all cylinders, and on the other side of the ball they
may be playing better than Manning and his offense. Von Miller is
solidifying himself as a top pass rusher in the NFL, and the secondary
is playing with much more confidence than earlier this year. The
Chiefs just don't score enough points and if the Broncos shut down the
Jamaal Charles show the Chiefs have no chance. I expect a big win for
the Broncos and the Peyton Manning Super Bowl odds continue to get
sharper.

Take the Broncos 30 - 10


#3

Pick - Rams -1 - The Cardinals are starting Ryan Lindley and two 7th
round tackles this week. Eh hem, this will be like an ATM game. Put
your card in and collect as much as you want. Rams will rebound from
a bad performance against the Jets and they will shutdown the
Cardinals offense. The University of Phoenix Stadium will be empty
before the end of the game. Rams will win this by the end of the
first quarter.

Take the Rams 20 - 6


#4

Pick - Bears -6 - Chicago gets their field general back this week,
and Minnesota is without their start playmaker, Percy Harvin.
Chicago's game plan; stop Adrian Peterson, force Ponder to pass the
ball early and often, and create turnovers. The Bears will get their
ship back in the water today and put on a nice show for their home
fans. In the last six games that Chicago has played when Cutler is
under center, they are 5-1 (the loss was against Houston where Cutler
left early), they won by an average of almost 17 points in those five
wins, and the defense has caused 20 turnovers.

Take the Bears 30 - 16.

Danny's Week 10 Picks

Danny’s NFL Week 10 Selections

 

Buffalo @ New England -13.5

This should be a rather high scoring game as both offenses put up a ton of points.  Home field advantage and two weeks rest should have the Patriots fired up.

Pick – Patriots 41 – Bills 24

 

 

New York Giants @ Cincinnati +4.5

Giants head into the bye week slumping.  A tough loss last week against the Steelers and now going against a very hungry home team that doesn’t want to lose its fifth straight game.

Pick-  Bengals 27 – Giants 26

 

Lock #1

San Diego @ Tampa Bay -3

The epic pick against the west coast team coming to the east coast for a 1pm game happens three times today. The east coast team dominates this statistic. 

Pick – Tampa 27 – Chargers 20

 

Denver @ Carolina +4

I love this matchup for the Panthers.  The Broncos defense has not been tested by a quarterback like Cam Newton this season and the Broncos have faced a tough schedule the last two weeks.  They traveled east to play the Bengals, went back to Denver, and now back to the east coast to play a 1pm game against a fiery team that has played consistently better the past 4 games.  Upset city?  Expect at least a Falcons cover.

Pick – Panthers 30 – Broncos 27

 

Lock #2

Tennessee @ Miami -6

I love the Dolphins going up against Locker in this matchup.  They get a great pass rush and the Linebackers are fast enough to prevent Locker’s leg from coming into play.

Pick – Dolphins 31 – Titans 17

 

Oakland @ Baltimore -7.5

Once again, this is the west coast team coming to the east for a 1pm game.  Advantage Ravens.

Pick – Ravens 26 – Raiders 16

 

 

Lock #3

Atlanta @ New Orleans +1.5

Huge game for Matty Ice, if the Falcons lose this game they will be the fuel to ignite the Saints fire for a comeback.   Against the Eagles the Saints defense looked very good because of their constant pressure against Vick.  That will not happen in this game as the Falcons offensive line is far advanced from the Eagles.   Falcons have too much fire power.

Pick -  Falcons 34 – Saints 24

 

 

Lock #4

Detroit @ Minnesota +3

No Percy Harvin means the Lions will do everything in their power to shut down Adrian Peterson.  If Stafford is able to use the ground game to open up the play action plays in the playbook, then this is a no contest win for the Lions on the road.

Pick – Lions -31 – Vikings 18

 

*Upset #2  of the Week

New York Jets @ Seattle -6

This is a very bold pick.  I feel far more confident in the Jets covering the 6 point spread than I do them winning outright, but I love this game.  The Seahawks are coming off a tough loss to Detroit and now head into the bye week with what appears to be an easy win at home against the Jets.  The Jets however, are coming off a bye week and should be very prepared to make this a low scoring game and potentially create a few turnovers from Russell Wilson.  Take the Jets in a low scoring game.

Pick – Jets 17 – Seahawks 16

 

Dallas @ Philadelphia +2.5

How can anyone seriously pick the Eagles with confidence?  The offensive line of the Eagles is horrible and that is their major flaw.  Romo beats Vick in the fourth quarter.

Pick – Dallas 24 – Eagles 17

 

St. Louis @ San Francisco -13

49ers should win this home game, but expect Jeff Fisher to keep this close.

Pick – 49ers 20 – Rams 10

 

Houston @ Chicago -1

Houston’s defensive front seven versus Chicago’s  offensive line = Texans road win.

Pick – Houston 24 – Chicago 20

 

Kansas City @ Pittsburgh -11

Come on man.  Steelers easy.

Pick -  Steelers 31 – Chiefs 17

Eric's Week 10 Picks

Eric’s Week 10 NFL Selections

LOCK

 

Detroit -1 @ Minnesota

Christian Ponder’s announcement that he is dating Samantha Steele seems to have coincided with his sluggish play. Samantha Steele is a poor man’s Erin Andrews. Now, I surely don’t think his dalliance with a generic blonde sideline reporter has anything to do with poor play- I think he’s just not altogether good. His career will be marked by periods of poor play, especially when the ground games struggles and Percy Harvin is injured. Minnesota came out of the gate as hot as Detroit did cold. Detroit seems to have found a semblance of running game and that has taken a weight off of Matt Stafford. Detroit will right the ship and make a run. It might even be enough to get 3 NFC North teams into the playoffs. If that’s going to happen, knocking off Minny and the man of Steele Sunday is a must.

DET 28 MINN 24

LOCK

Dallas @ Philadelphia +1

Andy Reid used to disappoint in style. The good ol’days of losing in the NFC championship games are gone. Fortunately for Reid, the Dallas Cowboys are coming to town. A team that looks like a baby just learning to walk. They will pick themselves up, take a few solid steps, then fall right on their butts. At 3-5, each one of Dallas’ games have come down to mistakes and not talent. Some argue the team’s talent is overstated but this is false. The raw talent is there but a higher level of dysfunction seems to permeate throughout the organization. Romo never learns from his mistakes, Jason Garrett’s predictable play calling and incompetent time management, and , of course, Jerry Jones; whose football acumen seems to age not like a fine wine but Mad Dog 20/20. This game has been styled as a must win for both sides, but no matter who wins, it will be a short reprieve.

DAL 13 PHI 24

 

New York Giants -4 @ Cincinnati

Something tells me Eli bounces back in a big way. Aside from Green, who exactly does Cincy have that scares you? They’re mediocre- meeting their potential, but their ceiling is too close to sea level to take them seriously as power players.

NYG 24 CIN 17

 

Tennessee +6 @ Miami

TENN 14 MIA 17

 

Buffalo @ New England -11

BUFF 17 NE 30

 

Atlanta -1 @ New Orleans

ATL 28 NO 25

 

San Diego @ Tampa Bay -3

SD 20 TB 24

 

Denver -4 @ Carolina

DEN 28 CAR 23

 

Oakland @ Baltimore -9.5

OAK 13 BAL 23

 

New York Jets +6 @ Seattle

NYJ 21 SEA 23

 

St. Louis +11 @ San Francisco

STL 17 SF 24

 

 

Houston +1 @ Chicago

HOU 27 CHI 21

 

Kansas City @ Pittsburgh -11.5

KC 10 PITT 28

Thursday Night Football Week 10

Post was to be submitted at 7:30pm instead it is sent late....

Eric and Danny both have Indy to win with a predicted score of 27-13.

Colts / Under

Week 9 NFL Picks - Danny

NFL Week 9 Selections – Danny

 

Denver @ Cincinnati +5

Upset special of the week?  Maybe, but I definitely think the Bengals hand tight in this one coming off a bye week with extra time to prepare.   This will be a good test for Peyton because the Bengals rush the passer as well as anyone in the league.

Pick – Cincinnati 27 – Denver 24

 

Arizona @ Green Bay -10

Pick – Packers 24 – Cardinals 13

 

Miami @ Indianapolis +1.5

Pick – Dolphins 20 – Colts 17

 

Baltimore @ Cleveland +4

****LOCK OF THE WEEK****

The Ravens are coming off a bye week following their horrible loss to the Texans two weeks ago.  The Browns are coming off a big win against San Diego last week (7-6 at home…not big score wise) but now they host the Ravens the week before their bye week.  The stats on teams going into their bye weeks are astonishing.  They are losing 70% of the games and against the spread they lost 75% of the time.  This is a 7-10 point win for the Ravens.  I would bet the house on this one ladies and gentlemen.  Weeden will get his first taste of Ed Reed on Sunday, INTERCEPTION lock.

Pick – Ravens 27 – Browns 13

 

Buffalo @ Houston -10.5

Pick – Texans 27 – Bills 23

 

Carolina @ Washington -3

Pick – Redskins 30 – Panthers 28

 

Detroit @ Jacksonville +6

Pick – Lions 30 – 17

 

Chicago @ Tennessee +4

***LOCK****

The Titans have the  arguably the worst defense in the league, with a struggling offense as well.  They will not get it done against the best defense in the NFL that will shut down Chris Johnson and take a few years off the life of the aging quarterback behind center for Tennessee.

Pick – Bears 24 – Titans 13

 

Minnesota @ Seattle -4

Pick – Seahawks 20 – Vikings 12

 

Tampa Bay @ Oakland -2

Pick – Buccaneers 30 – Raiders 24

 

Pittsburgh @ New York Giants -3

Pick – Steelers 27 -  Giants 24

 

Dallas @ Atlanta -3.5

Pick – Falcons 17 – Cowboys 16

 

Philadelphia @ New Orleans -3

Pick – Eagles 34 – Saints 24

Week 9 Thursday Night Selections

Danny and Eric both have San Diego to win 24-13

home team and the points tonight, Phil Rivers has to rebound and who
better to do it against than a divisional foe. Charles better get 25+
touches in order for KC to think they can hang in this game. I
expect the Chargers defense to look very good against a futile Chiefs
offense. Chargers get back in the W column this week.

Week 8 NFL PICKS - DANNY

Week 8 NFL Picks – Danny

Week 7 – ATS 11-2-1

Previews to come later…

 

New England -7 @ St. Louis (Game being played in London, England)

Pick  -  Patriots 34 – Rams 24

 

Indianapolis @ Tennessee  -3.5

Pick -  Titans 30 – Colts 27

 

Jacksonville @ Green Bay -14.5

Pick – Packers 35 – Jacksonville 13

 

****Lock****

San Diego @ Cleveland +3

Pick – Chargers 27 – Browns 16

 

Atlanta @ Philadelphia -3

Pick – Eagles 24 – Falcons 20

 

Seattle @ Detroit -2.5

Pick – Seahawks 24 – Lions 23

 

****LOCK****

Miami @ New York Jets -2

Pick -  Dolphins 24 – Jets 16

Carolina @ Chicago -7

Pick – Bears 30 – Panthers 17

 

Washington @ Pittsburgh -4

Pick -  Redskins 31 – Steelers 30

 

Oakland @ Kansas City -2

Pick – Chiefs 13 – Raiders 10

 

New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys +2.5

Pick – Giants 24 – Cowboys 17

 

New Orleans @ Denver -6

Pick – Broncos 38 – Saints 30

 

San Francisco @ Arizona  +7

Pick – 49ers 20 – Cardinals 9

Week 8 Thursday Night Football Picks

Danny -

Tampa Bay @ Minnesota -5.5 - Tampa Bay is 2-4 and in their 4 losses they haven't lost by more than 7 points.  Those losses have come against the arms of Drew Brees, Tony Romo, RG3, and Eli Manning...not too shabby of opponents.  I like Tampa Bay to turn the tables tonight on the Vikings defense.  Minnesota has allowed over 230 passing yards in three out of six games this season and in those three games they have only won by 7 points in each game.  Now combine that with the fact that the Bucs can stop the run and what you have here is a close, low scoring game.  In both games that the Vikings have not reached 100 yards rushing, they have lost.  I do not expect the Vikings to reach the century mark tonight and I think Tampa Bay has enough fire power to get the upset win in Minnesota.  Tied for 6th in interceptions, 3rd against the run, and in the top third of the NFL for points allowed, I like the Bucs to get a road win tonight.

Pick -  Tampa Bay 20 - Minnesota 16



Eric -

Tampa Bay @ Minnesota -5.5 - No preview for this game

Pick -  Minnesota 27 - Tampa Bay 24

Eric's Week 7 Picks

Eric’s Picks Week 7

 

***LOCK***

New Orleans -1 @ Tampa Bay

NO’s record is awful but they’re better than this. Coming off a bye, the team should have their heads on straight and put some of the drama behind them. They’re certainly not a playoff team but neither is Tampa Bay. Tampa has found something to behold in its running game but the Josh Freeman era is likely coming to its unceremonious end. Look for a little old school Saints football to put on a show in Tampa.

NO 35 TB 17

 

Tennessee +3 @ Buffalo

TENN 20 BUFF 16

 

Cleveland @ Indianapolis -1

CLE 18 IND 24

 

Green Bay +5.5 @ St. Louis

GB 35 STL 24

 

Arizona +6.5 @ Minnesota

ARI 17 MINN 14

 

Washington +6 @ NY Giants

WASH 24 NYG 28

 

Dallas @ Carolina +3

For whatever reason, this particular Cowboys incarnation has sickened me more than any other. I stopped paying attention to football on purpose, didn’t want the chance of a Dallas ESPN segment ruining my day. I witnessed the latest frustration in person. The stadium was packed with the Cowboys faithful. My buddy, a season ticketholder for over 10 years, commented he’d never seen more opposing team jersey’s at a Ravens home game. There was a sense of faith, of knowing, a belief that this was the game where we would start to right the ship. My Ravens fan buddy and his father each leaned over at different moments to sincerely say…We (Baltimore) are going to lose….you guys look good. A Romo pick here, a blown specials teams play there, Jason Garrett’s coaching led us to a heartbreaking loss. What makes this all the more insufferable is Jerry Jones insisting the Cowboys are in Super Bowl contention. The grace of those early Super Bowls is long gone. We no longer expect anything but hype followed by disappointment. In the good years, we display flashes of what could be then disappoint in the most beautifully heartbreaking manner imaginable. I don’t mind optimism, I don’t mind marketing but I can’t take this particular brand of ignorance. Who knows what Dallas team shows up this weekend, but even in their finest moment of 2012 (the opening night win) this team couldn’t get out of its own way.

DAL 21 CAR 24

 

Baltimore @ Houston -7

Baltimore let Felix Jones run all over them, wait until they get a taste of Arian Foster.

BAL 17 HOU 33

 

Jacksonville @ Oakland -6.5

JAX 14 OAK 20

 

New York Jets @ New England -10.5

It might be time to go whole hog on triple option. Denver rode it to the playoffs and the Jets certainly aren’t riding Sanchez anywhere.

NYJ 10 NE 28

 

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati -1

PITT 24 CIN 21

 

Detroit +6.5 @ Chicago

DET 30 CHI 28

Week 7 Picks - Danny

Danny’s week 7 Picks

 

Tennessee @ Buffalo -4

Pick – Titans 30 – Bills 26

 

Arizona @ Minnesota -7

Pick - Vikings 20 – Cardinals 10

 

Cleveland @ Indianapolis -1

Pick – Browns 27 – Colts 24

 

Baltimore @ Houston -6.5

Pick – Texans 30 – Ravens 20

 

Green Bay @ St. Louis +5

Pick -  Packers 28 – Rams 17

 

Dallas @ Carolina +3

Pick – Panthers 27 – Cowboys 23

 

Washington @ New York Giants -6.5

Pick – Giants 38 – Redskins  30

 

***LOCK***

New Orleans @ Tampa Bay +1.5

Pick – Saints 34 – Buccanneers 24

 

New York Jets @ New England -10.5

Pick – Patriots 30 – Jets 16

 

Jacksonville @ Oakland -6

Pick – Jaguars 17 – Raiders 13

 

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati -1

Pick – Steelers 27 – Bengals 23

 

Detroit @ Chicago -6.5

Pick – Bears 33- Lions 24

NFL Thursday Night Pick

Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers -7.5

Danny - 49ers 20 - Seahawks 9

Eric -  Seattle 24 - San Fran 21

Danny's Week 6 Picks NFL

No Write Ups with games this week due to heavy workload and slight sickness –

Picks as followed

3 team parlay at bottom

 

Cincinnati @ Cleveland +2.5

Pick – Bengals 30 – Browns 24

 

Indianapolis @ New York Jets -3

Pick – Colts 24 – Jets 20

 

Kansas City @ Tampa Bay -4.5

Pick – Bucs 26 – Chiefs 13

 

Oakland @ Atlanta -10

Pick – Falcons 31 – Raiders 20

 

Dallas @ Baltimore -3.5

Pick – Ravens 27 – Cowboys 24

 

Detroit @ Philadelphia -3.5

Pick – Eagles 35 – Lions 27

 

St. Louis @ Miami -5

Pick – Dolphins 17 – Rams 9

 

New England @ Seattle -3.5

Pick – Patriots 24 – Seahawks 16

 

Buffalo @ Arizona -5

Pick – Cardinals 20 – Bills 16

 

Minnesota @ Washington +1

Pick - Vikings 19 – Redskins 13

 

New York Giants @ San Francisco -7

Pick – 49ers 28 – Giants 24

 

Green Bay @ Houston -3.5

Pick – Packers 30 – Texans 27

 

Denver @ San Diego +1

Pick – Broncos 34 – Chargers 30

 

3 Team Parlay for Sunday –

Bengals -2.5, Buccaneers -4.5, Under Patriots/Cardinals 44