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Saturday, September 11, 2010

Eric's LOCK of the Week

Season Record: 0-0

Week 1 LOCK

Detroit Lions (-6.5) @ Chicago Bears

The Bears hope to reinvigorate their offense year by bringing in Mike Martz. Martz established his reputation as an offensive guru from his days heading up the St. Louis Rams’ "Greatest Show on Turf." That was about 10 years ago and since that time Martz has delivered less than stellar results. Martz’s offense calls for seven step drops, which requires a formidable offensive line, something Bears do not have. Conversely, the Lions added Suh and Vanden Bosch to their defensive front. Cutler is about to take a beating if he does not get the ball out of his hands quickly. Under duress Cutler has a tendency to rely upon his arm to thread the needle with his passes. In 2009, this over-reliance led to 26 interceptions. Offensively, the Lions added Jahvid Best and Nate Burleson to compliment Calvin Johnson and Matthew Stafford. The Lions are no’t about to set the world on fire, but their stock is rising.

The Bears are 6 ½ point favorites while the games total is 44 ½ . The Lions will cover and I’m taking the under. This pick runs counter to all historical evidence. The Lions have almost got that Matt Millen stink off of them and they're going to win a few games and pull themselves out of the NFC north cellar.

PICK: Lions +6.5 Under 44.5

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