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Thursday, December 10, 2009

Week 14 Selections

Here are my selections for Week 14 in the NFL

-ATS 101-90-2
-SU 126-66

-ATS selections are the teams with the (spread) in the parentheses
-Straight Up selections are in BOLD

Pittsburgh @ Cleveland (+10.5)

**Denver (+7) @ Indianapolis - I like the Broncos to win this game outright. Peyton Manning struggles against 3-4 defenses and I think the Broncos are riding high on the current 2-game winning streak they have. Colts are fine either way, win or lose, but I think they let their guard down this week. Moreno and Buckhalter can run against the Colts defense. Denver 24 - Indy 20.

**Cincinnati (+7) @ Minnesota - Minnesota needs to bounce back from last weeks brutal loss in Arizona. Unfortunately, the Bengals come to town. The Bengals will keep this game close with the commitment to running the ball with Benson and Johnson. I hope Ocho Cinco scores a TD just to see him blow the Vikings mascot's horn. Minnesota wins the game but the Bengals cover the spread. Vikings 17 - Bengals 13.

New York Jets @ **Tampa Bay (+3.5) - The Jets are coming off a nationally televised win on the NFL Network against the Bills, and the Bucs are coming off a sloppy loss to the Panthers. I like the Bucs to bounce back at home this week to take down the Jets who are starting Kellen Clemens at QB. Tampa Bay 20 - Jets 16.

***Buffalo (-1) @ Kansas City - The Bills have the defense to shut down the Chiefs passing attack, but can they keep the ground game in check. I thought the Bills looks good against the Jets last Thursday, but the Jets O-line was too strong. The Chiefs O-line is not too strong and this gives the Bills the edge. Fred Jackson will have success against the Chiefs defense. Buffalo 24 - Kansas City 13.

**Green Bay (-3) @ Chicago - The Bears would love to upset the Packers this week and shake things up in the NFC playoff race, but the Packers are too strong on both sides of the ball, and the Bears don't have anything to keep up with the Packers offense. Cutler is not himself, his is being contained by the coaches, and Matt Forte has been ineffective all season. Green Bay 27 - Chicago 17.

Detroit @ Baltimore (-13.5) - Ravens have to get it back on track with a dominating performance this week at home.

**New Orleans (-9.5) @ Atlanta - Matt Ryan is now listed as questionable? I still doubt he plays. All week every website, radio show, and ESPN analysts has said that Matty Ice is out this week. No Ryan, no Turner, means no "W" for the Falcons. Saints roll 38 - 10 over Atlanta.

Miami (+3) @ Jacksonville - The Dolphins proved that they can pass the ball last week against New England. Let's see what they do this week against a Jaguars defense that is bad against the pass and gets NO pass rush whatsoever. Dolphins get the road win 24 - 17.

Carolina @ New England (-14) - Two straight losses for the Patriots. Watch out Panther fans, this will be a blowout. New England 35 - Carolina 7.

Seattle @ Houston (-6) - Seattle is coming off a big win, Houston is coming off a big loss. I like the Texans to bounce back here. Houston 28 - Seattle 14.

St. Luis (+13) @ Tennessee - Vince Young is questionable with a sore knee, but I think he will play. He should just hand the ball off to Chris Johnson on every play anyway as the Rams boast the NFL's 5th worst run defense. Tennessee 24 - 13.

*****Washington (-1) @ Oakland - Washington's offense is playing at a much higher level than we are used to seeing. Quinton Ganther and Rock Cartwright should have big games against the Raiders pathetic run defense. I think Gradkowski struggles against the Redskins defense. Washington 24 - Oakland 10.

San Diego (+3) @ Dallas - Huge game for Dallas, everyone knows Romo struggles in December. What shouldn't be forgotten is that as bad as Romo struggles, the opposite happens for the Chargers in December who are 14-0 in their last 4 seasons with Rivers under center. After reading that, is anyone else jumping on the Chargers this week with me? San Diego 27 - Dallas 24.

***Philadelphia (+1) @ New York Giants - How the Eagles are getting points this week is insane to me. The Eagles are the better team and they have consistently played great football in December the past 8 seasons. That being said, I do expect this game to be pretty tight. It is going to be cold on Sunday night, it will probably be windy, David Akers never kicks well in the Meadowlands, and I am sure the Eagles will see a lot of Brandon Jacobs running the football. I still like the explosiveness of the Eagles offense. DeSean Jackson should be back this week after suffering a concussion against Washington two weeks ago. Eagles have too much for the Giants in this one. Philly over New York 20 - 17.

Arizona @ **San Francisco (+3.5) - The Cardinals are coming off a huge win last week against the Vikings. It was a nationally televised game so all of the Cardinals probably got caught up in the hoopla that followed that huge win against Farve and the Vikings. I still think Arizona wins this game, but San Francisco will give them everything they have and will put up a good fight at an upset. This has all the makings for a 49ers upset as they are playing on Monday night for the first time in a while, and the home crowd will be going NUTS. I think Arizona sneaks out of San Fran with a win 17 - 16.

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