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Thursday, November 12, 2009

Week 10 Selections

Chicago @ San Francisco (-3) - The 49ers come into this game riding a 4-game losing streak. Head coach Mike Singletary will not allow a 5th straight loss, that being said I like the 49ers to take it to the Bears tonight. Vernon Davis was running his mouth during the week trash talking the Bears defensive front seven, I thoroughly disagree with his decision making skills. If you think your team is going to dominate a defense, why say things that will only make that defense want to play better? He should have kept his mouth shut this week, and let his play tonight do the talking. Ironically for the 49ers, since the signing of rookie WR Michael Crabtree, the season has gone south (0-4 in Crabtree's first 4 games). This should be Crabtree's first win in the NFL, and he will have a chance to get his first touchdown receptions as well.

For the Bears, the season has replicated that of Jay Cutler's; inconsistent. Cutler is 2nd in the NFL, behind Jake Delhomme, with 12 interceptions thrown this season. Cutler is a very good quarterback, and the Bears are extremely lucky to have him behind center. But, they knew when they signed him that Cutler is high risk / high reward. Unfortunately, Matt Forte and the offensive line have done nothing all season to get a running game going for this Bears offense. Currently, the Bears rank 28th in the NFL only averaging 91 yards on the ground per game. Defensively, since they lost MLB Brian Urlacher, the Bears have dropped off. They are getting beat by the rush (allowing 120 yards per game) and only have 16 sacks on the season. In order to get this thing going again, Cutler has to be smart with the football, but the defense has to start winning the turnover margin each game. Creating turnovers leads to big plays, which turns into easy points.

That being said, I see the 49ers defense creating turnovers tonight at home against the Bears. Cutler takes too many chances with his limited receiving options and it will hurt them tonight. I expect Frank Gore to have a solid performance against a below average run defense, and look for Alex Smith and Vernon Davis to hook up at least 6-8 times in the middle of the field. Davis better bring his A-game after giving the Bears defense more fuel for their fire. My biggest advantage goes to the 49ers tonight, and that is the coaching. Mike Singletary will find a way to get the win tonight, he will not allow a 5-game losing streak. This team believes in their head coach, and they believe in each other. Playing smart football, running it up the gut with Gore, and hitting Davis and Crabtree for 8-12 yard gains will control the TOP and allow the 49ers to win this game tonight.

San Francisco 49ers 20 - Chicago Bears 13.

Other Games (without the previews)
***Top Plays for the Weekend

Jacksonville Jaguars @ New York Jets (-7)

Denver Broncos (-3.5) @ Washington Redskins

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-7)

Buffalo Bills @ **Tennessee Titans (-6.5)

Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings (-16.5)

***New Orleans Saints (-13.5) @ St. Louis Rams

Atlanta Falcons (-2) @ Carolina Panthers

Tampa Bay Buccanears @ Miami Dolphins

Kansas City Chiefs (+2) @ Oakland Raiders

Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals (-8)

***Philadelphia Eagles (+1) @ San Diego Chargers

Dallas Cowboys (-3) @ Green Bay Packers

New England Patriots (+3) @ Indianapolis Colts

**Baltimore Ravens (-10.5) @ Cleveland Browns

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