Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Week 10 Start 'Em / Sit 'Em
Here are my hot and cold starts for Week 10 in the NFL:
-Matt Hasselbeck (SEA) - The Seahawks will be in catch up mode from the 2nd quarter on in this matchup against the Arizona Cardinals. Additionally, the Cardinals are 3rd against the run, so the Seahawks will turn 1-dimensional with the pass very fast. Hasselbeck and Burleson have had success the past few weeks, and I like them to hook up in this game as well. Hasselbeck should be in the 250+ yards 2 TD 2 INT range this week.
-Josh Freeman (TB) - I am not on this bandwagon yet, but Freeman put up big numbers against the Packers defense last week, and the Dolphins secondary is not stellar against the pass by any means, yielding 247 yards per game through the air. Freeman could have a 225-235 yard game with a TD and a pick.
-Jay Cutler (CHI) - Thursday night matchup in San Francisco and the Bears will have a lot in front of them in order to get the win. Clearly the Bears are not going to run the ball 25 times a game against anyone this season, so Cutler is a valuable option each week. Add the fact that he and Greg Olsen finally hooked up for a score (actually 3 ) last week shows signs that Cutler will begin targeting him more often. The Bears will be behind in this one, and playing on the road I will imagine Cutler passing the ball 42-47 times. I think a 275+ yard game is likely for Cut, but I do see an INT or 2.
-Kyle Orton (DEN) - Washington is #1 against the pass and Orton has looked human the past two games. Denver will win this game due to controlling the time of possession and having good field position. Don't expect much from Orton, I see 180 yards and a TD at best.
-David Garrard (JAX) - The Jets are #2 against the pass, they had the bye week to prepare for this game, and they are at home. None of this bodes well for the Jaguars. Garrard will get sacked, fumble, and picked off in this game. Sit him.
-Willis McGahee (BAL) - The Browns allow 171 yards per game on the ground (31st in the NFL) and the Ravens need to get McGahee going at this time of the year so that Rice can have healthy legs deeper into the season.
-Jamaal Charles (KC) - With the Raiders secondary, the Chiefs have to try to run the ball. However, Charles is terrific catching passes out of the backfield so he presents value running it and catching it. Good week to give him a go if you need a #3 or Flex player.
-Mike Bell (NO) - Bell will get some carries this week as the Saints go against the lowly Rams. Bell will get some goal-line carries to pad his numbers as the Saints will utilize their ground game against St. Louis (who allows 135 yards per game on the ground).
-Julius Jones (SEA) - The Cardinals are 3rd against the run and 29th vs the pass. If you were the coach would you run it or pass it? Pass it they will. Sit Jones.
-Chris Chambers (KC) - Chambers became the go to guy for Cassel last week in the 4th quarter. Look for this connection to get stronger each week,
-Percy Harvin (MINN) - Potentially the rookie of the year, Harvin presents a great fantasy matchup against the Lions. The Vikings probably won't pass it much as the Lions are not a good defense against the run, but Harvin can run the ball, receive passes, and take back kicks. Start him.
-Nate Burleson (SEA) - He is Hasselbeck's favorite target, and he has a good chance to make something happen against a weak Arizona secondary. Start him and hope he can give you 7 catches, 120 yards and a TD.
-Eddie Royal (DEN) - Washington is too strong against the pass, and they get pressure on the quarterback. Sit Royal this week.
-Roddy White (ATL) - Atlanta will focus on running the ball effectively to keep DeAngelo Williams off the field for Carolina. Long drives will take up most of this game, if Matt Ryan is passing, he will be targeting Tony G. more so than Roddy W.
-Santana Moss (WAS) - The Broncos are solid against the pass, but they are 3rd in sacks in the NFL and with a beat up offensive line and not a strong blocking tight end, the Broncos should get a lot of pressure on Campbell.